Don't fall for it - Accounts will tell the true story.30 Oct 2023 18:34
Many are desperate for good news after a relentless sell off and a decline in the share price. Many are deeply under water on this after following the share price down from 50p +.
So lets get some facts sorted out:
Even with 4 days of increases the price is only back to where it was on September 18th. It declined by 15%, as predicted,
But the price is recovering, right? With any stock that suffers with poor liquidity the price is easy to manipulate and likely to be erratic, especially towards specific events. That doesn't mean these price changes have validity. It just is. One of the problems is that the price is really easy to manipulate.
Take these last 4 days. Specifically today. While some are talking up things let's look at facts:
# Trades 13
Vol. Sold 0
Sold Value £N/A
Vol. Bought 152,555
Bought Value £3.40k
Less than £5K traded and 13 trades. A tiny volume and a bunch of pocket money trades. Only one trade was above £1,000. I mean, it's pathetic. But this isn't the whole story. The spread has also increased from 5% to a whopping 20%.
Now, lets not carried away. The price has gone up. A win is a win. But don't get carried away. Warrants expiring are good in one way (no further dilution after suffering 3 in the last few years) BUT they aren't great either (no additional money coming in).
The zinger? Remember - in the AGM the holders were all excited about the dilution when it was pointed out to them they also voted through a clause that means the board, who don't have a great track record of working in the shareholder interest, can basically do what they want if the share ever goes above 4p. Now the discount they would need to offer will mean that dilution would come until the unlikely event it goes much above that figure but it should be remembered.
So enjoy the artificial rises but don't get fooled (again). The half year results are the critical bits and those that actually understand this business knows what's coming.