Re: Research Report28 Dec 2019 22:17
The Align Research Top 5 Conviction Picks For 2020 article on Big Dish was little more than a rehash of the info in the last couple of RNS's and some extremely inaccurate figures for Eatigo which were rehashed from the IPO prospectus and have no relevance to anything.
Take this opening paragraph:
"Investors in restaurant yield management platform BigDish (DISH) had a rollercoaster year, with the shares starting 2019 at around 1.7p before soaring to over 9p in June. Fast forward six months and we are now down to just 1.2p per share, for a market cap of just £4.2 million, a valuation which looks unfair in our view set against net cash of slightly in excess of £1m."
In actual fact, with little or no revenue and Big Dish Asia since closed the remaining cash in the bank is about all they have got - and that works out at a share price of about 0.28p - 4 times less than the current share price.
It also doesn't take into account that the share price rose on the back of the plans for the nationwide roll-out which in reality turned into a total disaster.
The next few paragraphs repeat the recent RNS's but anyone who's followed this share for a while knows that the ideas and plans in the RNS's don't always work out to plan. In fact they never do.
Finally it is nonsense to dig out this valuation of Eatigo who do not even operate in the UK. At the time of the IPO AB was talking about the value of Tastecard - $100 Million for 6000 restaurants - so to use this stupid Align valuation is like saying that Tastecard were really worth $600 Million which is nonsense.
In fact, someone once posted an article on here to say that Tastecard with 6000 restaurants were initially sold for £34.5 Million to a company that already had a similar number of restaurants on its platform and then the larger company was sold on for $100 Million. This means that Tastecard's real value was more like $50 Million - for 6000 restaurants.
Plus anyone who read my posts of a few weeks ago should know that as yet the yield management concept seems to bring in considerably less revenue than the card discount concept - roughly ten times less revenue to be exact.
Things may change here if the new CEO actually does sign up hundreds and thousands of restaurants in the next few months but I'd rather wait to see this happen than buy shares on the strength of this extremely poor Research report.
Discoeat meanwhile have gone from 110 restaurants to 41. Not sure what is going on there.