Member Info for apps

Why are market makers allowed to delay reporting to suit their agenda.

If their are rules which allow them to delay reporting to maintain an orderly market, fair enough but to hold back buy driven trades but show sell trades immediately stinks of manipulation, not maintaining an orderly market.

They should be forced to report immediately regardless of size or buy/sell. Otherwise a system designed to keep the system working, is just abused by MMs.

Yes, I know, it’s been happening for years. But it’s about time it’s abolished to so accurate data is shown to allow better informed decision making.

There is no investor lined up. Look at volume in August.

The shares are already in retail portfolios.

Forward sold between 0.3 and 0.7 after the shareprice had fallen to all time low of .225

NTVO shareholders hope is for an announcement from Tesoro confirming grades.

I suspect a price of not much higher than 0.3 will be announced with over 320m shares printed.

11:11:01 2.83 3,050,413 86.33k UT

Auction profiles keep repeating. To give you some context see below.

What the order book shows

• Bid side (buyers): You can see multiple 1m blocks between 2.7–2.82p, which is very unusual for a micro-cap AIM/Main Market stock. That’s heavy size sitting just below the market — it suggests at least one party wants in with size, or wants to give the impression of strong demand.

• Ask side (sellers): Resistance appears around 2.95–3.25p. There are 1m blocks sitting at 2.95, 3.1, and 3.25p. These look like “walls” — either real sellers or market makers trying to contain the price.

3. Auction dynamics

• At 11:00am, the LSE runs an intraday auction. Liquidity pools, and a single uncrossing trade sets the price.

• Right now, with stacked bids around 2.75–2.82p and offers around 2.95–3.25p, the indicative auction price could gap higher if buyers stay aggressive.

• If the 2.95p wall gets taken out in the auction, the next logical move is 3.1–3.25p.

4. What it suggests

• Bullish undertone: The weight of demand on the bid side is larger than the near-term supply. That’s a strong sign of buyers positioning for more upside.

• Market makers may be controlling pace: The big 1m blocks on the offer could be designed to slow the rise and manage liquidity, not necessarily all “real” sellers.

• Post-auction: If the UT (uncrossing trade) prints closer to 2.95p or above, that’s a bullish continuation signal. If it prints around 2.8p, it means the auction was balanced and might pause the rally.

👉 In short:

This action suggests continued demand pressure, with potential for a break into the 3p+ range if buyers chew through the visible supply. The high volume + strong bid stacking = bullish near-term.

Https://postimg.cc/GTTbGPMm

What does everyone think about the vote? Is it best it goes through to put money in the bank to commence further drilling etc.

Or from a traders point of view, not allow the extra shares to be printed to let MM's off hook for all the forward shares sold in August?

Personally, I'm thinking exploration is the key to getting the shareprice moving and that's why we're here, to see our investment rise.

I'm heavily into Fresnillo, Barrick, Newmont, GDXx3 and all things gold & Silver, NTVO is one of a couple of minnow explorers I hold for a speculative punt.

1. Tesoro (Bonanza & Morrocota) – JORC or credible drilling results

• Why it matters: Tesoro is the flagship and already has a 213k oz internal estimate. If NTVO converts even a portion of that into a JORC Inferred Resource, the market can start applying a real $/oz valuation.

• Likely effect: This could be a 2–3× uplift in perceived project value and almost certainly would be taken positively by AIM investors.

• Probability in near term: Moderate. They’re still at audit / sampling stage. Late 2025–2026 is more realistic for JORC, but even interim drilling results could excite the market earlier.

⸻

2. Toma La Mano tailings – feasibility/resource announcement

• Why it matters: Tailings are relatively low-risk to prove up. If the feasibility/metallurgy shows recoverable gold and decent economics, NTVO can present a fast-track to near-term production (cheaper capex than a new mine).

• Likely effect: Could drive a short-term share price pop, especially if recoverable ounces look material.

• Probability in near term: High. They already put feasibility contracts out to tender; results could land in the next 0-6 months.

⸻

3. Corporate JV or financing news (partnering or strategic investment)

• Why it matters: AIM investors often respond strongly to “backing” from a larger miner or financial partner.

• Likely effect: If NTVO secures funding that de-risks Tesoro development, it could outweigh geology news in short-term price action.

• Probability in near term: Unknown. Their bond restructuring shows they’re financially stretched, which might limit options, but if they land a deal it could move the stock fast.

⸻

4. Ana Lucia polymetallic project – early drilling or sampling

• Why it matters: Adds diversification (Au, Ag, Zn, Pb).

• Likely effect: Would probably be seen as incremental rather than transformative unless they hit a very strong grade intercept.

• Probability in near term: No evidence of imminent drilling announcements yet.

⸻

📊 Likely sequence for share-price-moving news

1. Toma La Mano feasibility/metallurgy update (near-term, quicker impact, “production optionality”).

2. Tesoro drilling results → JORC resource (medium-term, transformational impact, real re-rating).

3. Financing/partnership news (wild card, could move stock most, but not guaranteed).

With the current trajectory of gold price, any company sitting on gold licences are literally sitting on gold mines.

Tesoro licence alone at current price has $750m of gold waiting to be mined.

They did it before in June. Forward sold stock they couldn't deliver. LSE intervened before short squeeze was created.

23 June spike / volume → looks like someone was forward selling stock (selling shares they didn’t yet legally have in hand, anticipating a placing or warrant conversion).

27 June suspension notice → the Exchange steps in because trades were failing to settle. That usually means:

Brokers or MMs had sold more stock than could be delivered, or

Someone dumped a huge block without actually holding it, relying on new issuance or transfers to cover later.

This is classic AIM settlement failure territory — a red flag for “games” behind the scenes.

Why the Exchange suspended

Under Rule 1510, the LSE can suspend a stock if “orderly settlement” breaks down.

In plain English: too many trades weren’t being completed.

They allowed settlement of outstanding trades to catch up before reopening.

This almost always happens when placees / forward sellers get ahead of themselves before the company has the legal right to issue the stock.

What it signals

Confirms your suspicion: that June spike was artificial liquidity created for forward selling.

Market makers & placees were involved: they got overextended, hence the settlement crisis.

“ How'd that FED meeting go yesterday? Thought Gold was going to pump into the $4,000s after the meeting?”

Really?

It takes a numpty to think gold was going anywhere yesterday.

Even someone who’s only been investing in the sector a week would know the .25% reduction was priced in and a 0.5% reduction was a 5% chance.

The dovish or hawkish notes is what everyone was reading into and we got dovish. Enough to see a spike over $3,700 but not dovish enough to keep it there.

If you need any lessons in basic economics surrounding interest rates and PMs, ask ChatGPT (other LLMs are available)

If the vote doesn’t pass on 26th, potential for massive squeeze as shares from August spike will need delivering.

Trying work the numbers and likelihood of it passing.

Large shareholders may not want the £970k raising at these levels.

So between Richard, Adrian, Peter and Bergen Asset Management, 26% shares are tied up.

Is 75% still the requirement to get resolution to fundraise through?

There will be investors who prefer the raise is done from a higher level, either maximising the amount raised or reducing the amount of dilution.

There is definitely a naked short from August which MM's will be desperate to balance.

The is a good probability the GM on 26th (within the T-20 window of August spike) will let them off the hook but they need to keep a lid on trade for now.

Would prefer to see a squeeze play out though.

i believe there is a massive short here and mms desperately need the next vote on 26th to pass.

huge volume and spike early august a few weeks before a gm where a vote to print new shares was denied. there was no news to justify the increase and volume. i suspect forward selling and now a massive naked short exists.

the tr1s over the last few days i suspect are traders who have also seen what’s happening.

remember nwog 2015. massive short squeeze. i think we may have one here. checked with chatgpt for comparison.

yes — the ntvo setup has some real echoes of new world oil & gas (nwog), though there are important differences too. let’s line them up:

⸻

🔄 similarities to nwog

1. forward selling ahead of gm approval

• at nwog, brokers/market makers forward-sold stock expecting the gm to approve issuance.

• at ntvo, the trading pattern and volume spikes suggest the same: shares may have been “pre-sold” into the market in anticipation of gm resolutions.

2. gm rejection = synthetic short exposure

• at nwog, when shareholders voted no, suddenly those forward-sold shares had no legal cover → massive squeeze.

• if ntvo’s gm resolutions fail (again on 26 sept), any forward selling that’s been done without cover could leave mms short.

3. retail vs institutions dynamic

• nwog’s rebellion was driven by retail investors (the “**********” group) who blocked the dilution.

• ntvo’s register also has a heavy retail presence, and forums show awareness of “games” being played.

⸻

🟨 key differences

1. scale

• nwog’s squeeze was huge because the mismatch between shares forward-sold and shares authorised was extreme.

• at ntvo, there has already been real paper admitted (placings in early aug, late aug), so some forward-selling has already been “covered”.

2. company position

• nwog was in outright distress with almost no way forward without issuing stock.

• ntvo is still actively trying to raise, with repeated gms lined up. that means even if 5 sept failed, the board is pushing for 26 sept approval, which could relieve pressure.

3. market awareness

• in 2015, the nwog short squeeze blindsided a lot of traders.

• now, with ntvo, retail is alert to this possibility, so mms will be more cautious in managing exposure.

⸻

✅ so could it happen here?

• yes — the mechanics are in place. if ntvo’s gm on 26 sept fails, and there has been large forward-selling, then you get the same synthetic short trap → potential for a sharp squeeze.

• if the gm passes, then forward-sellers get their cover, and the overhang of dilution lands → bearish for price in the short term.

⸻

👉 it’s not guaranteed ntvo will replicate nwog, but the setup is strikingly similar. the squeeze risk hangs entirely on the 26 sept gm outcome.

Can’t believe this one is still sat at a £1-2m mcap after that RNS and now tow TR-1's landing.

Recent RNS confirmed progress on Tesoro & Morrocota – 213,000 oz gold potential, high grades (6-12 g/t and “bonanza” zones even higher).

Two TR-1's just dropped – investors are quietly hoovering up stock at these levels.

Processing plant plans + tailings projects give multiple near-term revenue routes. They’re not a lifestyle explorer – they’re moving into production.

Market cap is microscopic vs. the ounces on the table. Even at $20-50/oz in the ground, you’re looking at multiples of today’s valuation. If they mine it or JV it, the upside is even bigger.

Tight free float and hardly any liquidity – when sentiment flips, this can really move.

213,000 oz × even $50/oz = $10.6m (~£8.5m). At $100/oz that’s £17m. Current mcap? £1-2m. 🤯

DYOR as always, but the setup here is insane – tiny cap, serious assets, fresh whale interest (TR-1), and the company actually doing the work on the ground.

My next solly gold 👀

Not sure how far back my posting history goes but I was an early investor of Solomon Gold back in 2010 before it went from approx 2.8p to over 40p.

I like the look of what's occurring at NTVO, it has similar under stated vibes.

At 2p, this would put the mcap at less than £8m. This is a wild underestimate if just one of their licences comes up with the goods.

Small gold juniors often trade at US$50-US$200 per ounce of resource (for non-proven, non-producing / early producing) depending on grade, location, risk, etc. Once producing with margins, this can increase. If some ounces are already in production or close to it, or the mine is generating cash, you see higher multiples.

Current market cap is only ~ £1-2 million (per most recent data).

That means there is potentially large upside (20×-100×) under favourable development & execution.

If the market completely believed the company’s assets would be sold rather than mined, its market cap would likely approach somewhere between the lower end of those ranges (minus risk premium, legal, transaction, due diligence costs etc.). So realistically:

With modest confidence / risk high → perhaps £5-£10 million

With better proven resource, good geochemistry, good jurisdiction, buyer interest → perhaps £10-£25 million

In very strong circumstances (very low risk, good resource, favourable buyer, well advanced licences) → maybe £25-£30 million or more

So the market cap “capable” in a pure licence sale scenario (i.e. no mining, simply selling the rights) might credibly sit somewhere in the £10-£30 million region, depending on how clean and convincing the asset is.

Gold is flying and junior explorers are about to go to the races, joining the miners.

Sharebel.

You are either a paid de-ramper or know absolutely nothing about how share placings work.

After 14,000+ posts I would suggest you are paid to be here and create discord because surely someone who has spent so much time on trading/investing forums, you'd have learned by now when a placing or any large disposal of shares announcement is made, 9 times out of 10, the shares have already been distributed. Either on unwitting retail investors or to MM/brokers/finance houses, to balance there books because they've had to go very short and will be out of pocket if balancing their books at new price.

Change the record and think of something new to add balance. I wouldn't pay you a penny for your feeble attempts recently.

Why are MMs allowed to not report NMS trades immediately?

That are holding into blocks of small and medium buy driven and not reporting them. In the hope of not getting retail traders/investors excited.

They report most sells immediately in the hope of more following but won’t do the same for the buys.

Something big is coming and MMs need to keep control and are doing anything in their power to discourage buying or holding. And everything they can do to encourage selling.

Says link expired

Wonder how much a paid deramper gets per post.

With over 14,000 paid posts, not a bad living trying to talk down people’s investments.