RE: Filter12 Aug 2020 15:30
Firstly, welcome Magnet – I understand your frustration, but don’t write this off just yet.
You hear a lot on this BB about how the BoD has done nothing, how useless they are and how overpaid. Lots of comments of where’s the PPA, where’s the gas and where’s the funding. Many of these posts are fuelled by the SP performance and willingly disregard the significant progress the company has made. They fail to recognise the company’s strategy, how they are looking to minimise costs, keep debt to a minimum, navigate the immense bureaucracy, getting permits and approvals, building strong foundations without crippling the company in preparation for ultimately putting up the for sale sign. They demonstrate an ignorance of the technicalities of CBM in general and those specific to Lesedi, an inability to take a pragmatic view of the difficulties the company has faced, and rarely give credit where credit is due. TG has invested a lot of his own cash here – he will soon own 6.6% of the company - that shows commitment and confidence imo.
The company has effectively stated they have proved concept and they believe the project is now de-risked. With that in mind I see little reason to continue dewatering and wasting energy until we are connected to the grid. They are working with Mott MacDonald to design the 66kv 100km transmission line. A globally renowned specialist in hybrid energy projects, who advise the BG in their development of an energy regulator and work with BPC. This is very encouraging indeed and it makes me wonder how much input they had in our strategy development.
They have decided upon a staged pathway for funding and development. This is sensible. They are close to having everything in place to proceed.
1.They have the regulatory approvals for interim the 2MW PPA – they are waiting to meet the BPC to sign and this is not TLOU’s fault.
2. EIA approval for power station site and transmission line. Also, Serowe Sub-Land Board approval for transmission line wayleave application, subject to compensation agreements.
3.They have the electric generation licence (EGL) from BERA for the 2MW hybrid project at Lesedi for sale to BPC
4. They have the mining licence to produce gas until 2042
5. EIA approval for production all necessary upstream operations and downstream development of 20MW gas-fired and 20MW solar power generation.
Though progress has been slow, they have achieved much more than most would have. The power line I believe is the last piece that will fully unlock the full potential here, and it can be achieved relatively cheaply. We can install solar and start to generate revenue and unlock more funding to progress the project. At the same time drill more wells so we can dewater more effectively whilst generating power. The 10MW PPA will happen.
How far down this road we get before we are sold, I don’t know, but I think sooner rather than later. GLA