RE: TG Interview19 Mar 2021 09:47
They've been very clear on their position concerning gas flows. From April last year:
'The Lesedi 3 and 4 production pods have been flowing gas for many months with sustained gas flow rates having been achieved from both pods.
Increased sustained gas flow rates are anticipated to take some considerable time, based on the currently available data, unless additional wells are drilled to facilitate the dewatering process. A decision to drill additional wells is being considered but no decision has yet been made.
During the quarter, the Company proposed to shut-in one or possibly both of the production pods as sufficient data has now been gathered indicating the presence of potentially commercial gas in the coal seams. Shutting-in the wells reduces unnecessary expenditure and stops flaring of gas that could otherwise be converted to electricity and sold once the project is connected to the grid. Bringing the pods back on-line should not take too long given the current understanding of the production process gleaned from the comprehensive data base acquired. '
From January this year:
'Gas continues to flow at the Company's production well Lesedi 4P. The Lesedi 4P gas rate has shown a steady increase over time while water rates are progressively decreasing. The continuous nature of the gas flow throughout the year with the steady incline being observed is very encouraging.
Gas flow rates are not anticipated to increase materially until further drilling is carried out. Lesedi 4P is a single well and is not part of a mature gas field where multiple adjacent wells would all be assisting with the dewatering of the reservoir. Once further water can be removed from the system by additional wells, the Company expects that gas should start to substantially increase.
A schematic illustrating the historical production curves for gas and water to December 2020 (solid lines) and what could be anticipated with additional dewatering of the field (shown by dashed lines) can be found in the ASX quarterly operations report at: Microsoft Word - Quarterly Operations Report 4Q20 - Final.docx (markitdigital.com). The Company does not intend to provide additional specific gas and water flow numbers until material levels are reached being in the vicinity of 100,000 cubic feet per day.
The continuous gas flow reinforces the significant upside potential for shareholders and along with Tlou's plans for solar power, could create a new cleaner power opportunity for the region. Only the deeper gas target horizon (Morupule coal seam) has been explored to date with at least one other shallower potentially productive zone (Serowe coal seam) yet to be evaluated.'
They've stated several times that they believe they have proved concept - I'm guessing this is why they are pressing on with the PPA, powerlines etc. The alternatives are that they are wrong or lying - if that's the case then we're all in big trouble.