RE: Appi3 Mar 2023 09:40
It is a huge undertaking for a small cap company to develop a CBM gas field, and once we were beyond the permitting stage, cash was always going to be the main limiting factor affecting progress. Although I agree with many of the comments on mates rates etc., and I don't believe the company has done enough to get the story out there, under current market conditions and against the, rather sinister imo, global climate change agenda attacking hydrocarbon energy, I think the company has done reasonably well in raising capital to keep the project on track, glacial in time frame as it is. I would like the company BoD to be more accessable to shareholders though - facing hard questions from the folk you're rinsing for money year on year, through either investor conference calls or events is not easy but hugely bebeficial to both parties imo - not part of TG's strategy it seems though.
Although placings are often unwelcome, with the inveitable pain and diminishment of the holdings of existing investors, they are a necessary evil and generally beneficial to the company; leaving them with less debt to service and hopefully making it more attractive when to for sale sign goes up - which is the ultimate end game here. However, I still find it bewildering that with the progress already made, the numerous hurdles overcome and the energy deficient evironment we are operating in, the SP is sitting where it currently is and the market seemingly totally uninterested. Moreover why, if the project is the no brainer the company insists it is, we have not secured a significant RBL or more equitable funding to enable us to fast-track (not a word used often in Africa I know) the project at least to the 10MW stage? Maybe I've already answered that question.
I think I said last year that 2023 was likely to require a good deal of patience, and that maybe we would slip into 2024, it appears that this is likely now. I asked myself the question why aren't the substations/generators constructed to coincide with the completetion of the TX lines, but decided that again it was financial constraints. Orapa is a pipe-dream for the foreseeable future imo for the same reason. Producing and transporting enough gas to power their two GE 45MW gennies will need massive investment - something for the next owners probably/hopefully.
As early investors we generally have two choices, sell up when we get too disillusioned or dispondent, or keep the faith and average down with the placings in order to keep pace with the dillution, I'm guessing TLOU, like most small-caps, has had plenty of both. As others have said we will almost certainly need to raise more capital this year, hopefully the last to get us to the point of generating revenue. Maybe once that's concluded and the dust settles the herd will finally turn up. As always GLA.