RE: Dilemma3 Dec 2021 09:02
I think that's a fair view to take TB. The board as a whole, mainly TG if course, hold a decent chunk of stock and though always good to see continued commitment, I'm OK with that particular situation. I'm not sure other IIs will take too much of an interest just yet, bit early I believe. I'm not ruling out some 'green' funding through.
As for the muted SP reaction - the market will assign value in its own time. Volumes have been low, indicating a general lack of interest imo and I suspect a fair few were waiting for a spike on news, when that didn't materialise off they trot as I don't think they foresee any significant share shifting news for some time.
For those of us who are invested in the long-term success of the company, not the short-term movements of the SP, things are looking decidedly more rosey imo. Still some questions over funding to be resolved. For example the proposed investment in SM and the equity part of this first finance package. The latter given time for the SP to move north it seems, and is around the time the options expire. I get the impression that it's important to the company that there is a substantial take-up of these options, it featured prominently in the recent research note and will likely influence the equity terms - the SP needs to improve significantly for a good outcome there. The other issue to be resolved is gas flows, important of course, but I personally am not as concerned as some on here. I think the company and our main investor are satisfied with current indications and confident it will come good.
All that said, they have achieved a lot this year and negotiated the major obstacles standing in the way. They have vaguely told us the proposed work schedule and allocation of funds, but I too would like to see this layed out in much more detail in order to gauge performance and progress through 2022, where I believe a good deal of patience will be needed, building hopefully to a very eventful 2023. GLA