RE: Broker Note 53p10 May 2022 19:24
Catbert - there was not a change to 53p post the RNS yesterday. It is pure misinformation.
The target price of the note released yesterday was the same of the previous note and the note before that....
I have no idea where this comes from, the notes are free to access, please check for yourself.
Cenkos used the extended case of 2019 PEA case to value the gold. The 2022 confirmed the extended case, hence no uplift. The PEA yesterday did not include a large part of the inferred gold because they did not extend the pit design. The gold is still there, just not the formal data to extend the pit.
Cenkos value the gold at 25% of the PEA value, this is very conservative by all accounts. 40 % would be more realistic.
Then there is the rest.
Inferred gold not in PEA - Cenkos do not put a value on this, but clearly worth a decent amount
Exploration potential - Cenkos value this at something stupid like 4 million
Battery metals - despite what BH said in interviews they have always valued this at £20 million.
Mark my words if the SP was 60p today, the target price would be raised by altering some of the numbers above.
Overall, the discount to the PEA is very Conservative. Its nonsense to value the gold not in the PEA and wider exploration potential at near zero. As for battery metals, I have no idea how to value them....