Updated broker note - CENKOS5 Apr 2021 10:59
After the recent drill results, mainly just reiterate previous valuation, but a few interesting lines:
'We expect that the additional drilling should move BAM towards a multi-million ounce gold resource'
Then for the valuation. There are two methods of valuation, discount cash flow (5%) and average resource ounce compared to peers.
Both of these valuations are before the resource gets upgraded this summer, which we are probably looking at an increase from 1 MIl oz to around 1.5 Mill oz (so 50% increase).
Discount cash flow/Net Present Value: This is based on $1650 Gold, the NPV is US$272m (186p per share). They then apply a very conservative NAV multiple of 0.25, so essentially a 75% risk rating, to get a target price of 68p, meaning the share is 2.2 t undervalued by a factor of 2.2. The risk rating will reduce to 60% once the feasibility work starts in the summer.
Reserve ounce: Currently undervalued by a factor of 1.95 - see below.
'On a Resource basis, looking at a global list of roughly 100 AIM/ASX and TSX gold companies on a pre-Reserve basis the average market capitalisation to Resource ounce is approximately US$85/total Resource ounce or US$215/Measured and Indicated ounce, a slight decline on last month following a fall in the gold price. Landore is currently trading at US$44/total Resource ounce or US$59/Measured and Indicated ounce, so significantly less than its peers and with a fully funded exploration and drill programme underway'
The broker explicitly states: 'the potential for a rerating is high'
Broker note can be accessed on the Cenkos website for free, you just need to sign up.