RE: Surge?22 Jan 2019 07:29
James - indeed David was a great guy that I used to have lunch with in the Cavendish on occasion, before he wrote Without Hot Air and became much more sought after.
The 70m2 for 1.5MWh works out at around 45m2 per MWh - this is somewhat higher than the more recent estimates that we have from UET of 40 MWh over the area of 3 basketball courts - that works out at around 32m2 per MWh - so let us say 40m2 is a good figure to remember.
His figure of 36,000 tonnes of Vanadium for 10GWh energy storage is somewhat in disagreement with his own figure of 20 Wh/Kg - the latter one would give 5,000 tonnes per GWh energy storage. The 5,000 figure is the conservative one that we all tend to adopt now, though the mixed acids electrolyte and possibly other Vanadium electrolyte mixes under development could improve on this figure.
Still - to the final point - long term supply of Vanadium. There are many in the United States who claim that Vanadium is exotic, or even rare. This is a misconception brought about by extreme US-centricity and the simple fact that the US doesn't have a Vanadium mine - QED it must be rare.
This of course is nonsense as there is more Vanadium in the earth's crust than there is Nickel, Chromium, Zinc or EVEN COPPER ( https://www.thebushveldperspective.com/blog/public-articles-1/post/vanitec-4th-energy-storage-meeting-part-1-274 ) and of course a lot more common than 'battery metals' Lithium or Cobalt. At present Vanadium is mined at 1/1000th the rate of Copper so it looks like Vanadium is the perfect metal to build an energy storage industry on.
Just because an element is common does not mean it is cheap as chips, because it still needs to be mined and refined, but the point is Vanadium Flow Batteries are here, are gaining acceptable quickly and are ready to help support the transition to renewable energy at a massive scale.