RE: Bid shake…19 Feb 2026 08:42
Im not expert but this time it seems serious as Ethiopia has moved soldiers that were fighting the FANO insurgency and the central government will almost certainly lose ground in Amhara.
The president prime minister of Ethiopia, Abiy Ahmed in a recent speech decrying Eritrean support to Ethiopian rebels also stated that Ethiopia needs to secure access to the ocean, specifically the port of Assab. So we might see a major war in the horn of Africa as neighbouring countries, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE get dragged into another conflict. These nations already had a proxy war in Sudan.
I believe the risk is priced in here as kefi is way to cheap but seeing these things in the media will hurt sentiment if nothing else. Holding firm. For now.