RE: Nigerian Petroleum law overhaul7 Jul 2021 17:59
pleasing rns this morning. i like the fact there is a pretty short time horizon on the conditional waiver, indicating a window for completion of the rto negotiations (and maybe also for commissioning the new pipeline). cashing in the $32m of the loan notes for a bigger share in the new project, if the rto happens, makes complete sense to me. i think they've pitched this right and it would still of course leave $66m outstanding. i'm fascinated to see what, if anything, happens to the Sahara holding in OML18. it would make sense to take them out at this stage and then see whether NNPC want to reduce their holding, as has been mooted previously. i repeat my view that this is a most propitious time for regional medium players in the Niger Delta, with the world looking short of oil, a rising oil price and the Nigerian government looking to encourage foreign investment. what better place to start than OML18 - a world class producing oilfield, which the operator and us have become expert in over the last 5 years and one which is about to get its own brand new export system?