RE: all that blue....19 Jan 2019 02:23
Moz PFS is for just 452mt of a 4.4bill resource (target 7-8) because it's high grade and a nuts 2:451 strip ratio, ie it's like going to the beach and just scooping it up. Scoping study took us to 20% of the resource with Rio Tinto, PFS takes us to 35%, DFS will be 51%. So our stake increases 75% on PFS is a good way to look at it.
This PFS was put on slow burner because it's such a long life project that is the grey man, it's boring, stable and turns a profit for 30years(resource total 100yrs+ easy). Dependable. People will always need white paint! It's entering an industry that is declining in terms of tier 1 producers as emerging markets continue to expand, so it can only get better, however Portugal is in the now and well you back the race horse not the shire horse in a race, so Portugal has been taking the lime light and will be more profitable short term, but Moz 30yr will underwrite the company's long term future with a big asset and cash flow to build from, if other shorter projects come and go. However it is not staggering the return but PFS should improve on scoping due to price improvements since scoping that were expected but I'd still expect mid to upper 20s IRR for worst case long term low pricing and $250-300m NPV, $4BILL+ LOM revenue. Rio Tinto is 100% offtaker already.