Broker notes22 Nov 2021 19:51
Shanta gold remains one of the most consistent operators in the industry and is now on a path to more than double its production over the next four years, significantly extend the life of the flagship mine NLGM, continue construction at Singida, and prove up resources at the high grade WKP project in Kenya. Despite this, the company is still trading on very undemanding valuation metrics including an EV/EBITDA for 2021 and 2022 of 5.5x and 3.2x respectively at $1800/oz, as well as a P/NPV of 0.27x. The NPV per share for NLGM alone is 19.2pps showing that, in our view, the market is applying less than zero value for Singida and WKP which has to be unsustainable. We keep our PT of 30p.