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Broker tips: Johnston Press, Direct Line, Hikma Pharmaceuticals

Thu, 04th Aug 2016 11:01

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press shares plunged on Thursday as Numis placed its rating and target price 'under review' after the company swung to a first half loss.For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked a £183.6m non-cash impairment reflecting a change of assumptions on its publishing titles and print assets.Advertising revenues were down 17.9% in the first quarter but improved marginally, with a 15% drop in the second quarter despite the impact of the run-up to and uncertainty following the UK's vote to leave the European Union in June.Chief executive Ashley Highfield said the market continues to be challenging and uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Brexit negotiations has caused further softness in some segments of the advertising market, in June and July.Numis said the half year results came in below its estimates at every level."Our key issue at Johnston remains debt which has risen to £209m (from £179.4m) representing almost 4x our annualised EBITDA."This material debt pile, relative to cashflows, in combination with the declining and uncertain trading environment place a significant question mark on the equity value in the business."Numis said it expects to cut estimates "reasonably sharply" in both fiscal years 2016 and 2017. Direct Line Insurance Group's rating has been downgraded to 'hold' from 'buy' by Berenberg as the broker said "questions remain about earnings sustainability"."We believe there is some risk regarding the sustainability of Direct Line's earnings," Berenberg said in a note on Wednesday."High reserve releases, lower than forecast cost savings and a shrinking direct market all cast doubt on future earnings."Berenberg said older accident years have been incredibly profitable for Direct Line but these years are now contributing increasingly less releases.The broker said it does not expect to see the same developments in more recent accident years. Berenberg believes it will be difficult for management to offset falling reserve releases with the current accident year and operating improvements."As reserve releases decline, we expect earnings to be flat at best, thus we believe it will be challenging to grow the dividend from here," the broker said.Berenberg reiterated a target price of 406p.Direct Line on Tuesday posted its half year report for the six months to 30 June on Tuesday. Operating profit fell 5% to £316.9m, hurt by lower investment gains and the new Flood Re levy, but the group beat its own consensus estimates of £263m. Analysts at Citi downgraded their recommendation on shares of Hikma Pharmaceuticals in the wake of the company´s trading update which was issued after the close of trading in London on 3 August.Hikma flagged new drug approvals were arriving more slowly than expected and the phasing of litigation costs at US generics.On the basis of the above, the broker´s analysts lowered their recommendation on the shares from 'buy' to 'neutral' and set a target price of 2,600p.They also lowered estimates for the drugmaker´s core 2016 earnings before interest and taxes and earnings per share by 9.0% to $367m and $1.08, respectively - below the equivalent figures of $420m and $1.22 expected by the consensus.EPS estimates from 2017 onwards were cut by between 2% and 5% from 2017 onwards, with rates in foreign exchange markets expected to be an "incremental headwind".What was Citi´s view? "Developments at US Generics at best can be described as a 'short term hiccup'. At worse, sentiment concerns around the revenue/margin potential from the Roxane pipeline will increase, which is not helped by the lack of clarity on the pipeline given commercial sensitivities until 2017."If one were to cut his Roxane pipeline estimates by half, that would lead to EPS downgrades of between -15.0% and -20.0%, Citi said.Citi estimated the company´s net present value (NPV) at 2,900p, with a weighted average cost of capital of 8.0%, a terminal growth value (the rate at which free cash flows are expected to grow for eternity) of 2.0% and cable´s exchange rate at 1.32.
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22 Oct 2018 16:57

Majedie Investment Unit Sells Entire Johnston Press Stake (ALLISS)

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC said Monday that Majedie Asset Management Ltd sold its entire stake in the company.Majedie previous holding in the company before the sale was at

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19 Oct 2018 18:25

Custos Group Raises Johnston Press Stake To 25% In Deal (ALLISS)

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC said Friday Custos Group AS increased its stake in the multimedia news company to 25% after transactions on Thursday and Friday.Prior to these a

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11 Oct 2018 10:04

Johnston Press puts itself up for sale

(Sharecast News) - Johnston Press, the publisher of the i and Scotsman newspapers and roughly 200 other local titles, has put itself up for sale.

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11 Oct 2018 09:34

Debt-Laden Scotsman Publisher Johnston Press Puts Itself Up For Sale

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC, the publisher of the i, Scotsman and Yorkshire Post newspapers, said Thursday it has decided to put itself up for sale to maximise shareholder value on

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29 Aug 2018 10:40

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Johnston Press Drops 20% On Revenue Decline

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29 Aug 2018 07:53

Johnston Press revenue dented by Google and Facebook changes

(Sharecast News) - Newspaper publisher Johnston Press reported a drop in first-half revenues on Wednesday as it took a hit from algorithm and news feed changes at Google and Facebook, but said it swung to a pre-tax profit.

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27 Jul 2018 16:41

Alex Salmond Dropped From Johnston Press Takeover Plans

LONDON (Alliance News) - Alex Salmond has been dropped from plans for a takeover of the newspaper group which publishes the Scotsman and the i, it has emerged.Norwegian investor Christen he

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26 Jul 2018 13:15

Johnston Press Shares Spike 60%, Knows Of No Reason Why

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC said Thursday it does not know the reason behind its sharp share price increase.Shares were trading 60% higher at 5.66 pence each Thursday - the

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29 May 2018 16:05

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1 May 2018 09:28

Johnston Press Boss Ashley Highfield Resigns As Finance Head Steps Up

LONDON (Alliance News) - Publishing firm Johnston Press PLC said Tuesday Chief Executive Officer Ashley Highfield will resign from early June for "family reasons" to be replaced by its -

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19 Mar 2018 09:47

PRESS: Investor Pauses Bid To Make Alex Salmond Johnston Press Chair

LONDON (Alliance News) - Plans for former Scottish National Party leader and First Minister of Scotland Alex Salmond to be installed as chairman of Johnston Press PLC by have

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3 Feb 2017 09:42

UPDATE 1-Yorkshire Post publisher Johnston Press flags improved trading

(Recasts, adds shares, details) Feb 3 (Reuters) - Johnston Press Plc, the publisher of the Scotsman, said trading towards the end of 2016 improved as it posted a 1 percent rise in fourth-quarter revenue aided by strong sales of its "i" and Yorkshire Post titles. The 250-year-old compa

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3 Feb 2017 09:29

Johnston Press recovers after tough post-Brexit vote period

(ShareCast News) - Multimedia company Johnston Press, owner of brands like The Scotsman and The Yorkshire Post, has reported an improvement in trading in the fourth quarter after a 5% fall in revenue during the aftermath of the Brexit vote. The group recovered in the fourth quarter with a 1% rise in

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3 Feb 2017 08:13

Publisher Johnston Press full-year revenue falls; weak pound hurts

Feb 3 (Reuters) - Johnston Press Plc, the publisher of the Scotsman and the Yorkshire Post, said it is seeing higher costs from imported paper and ink due to weakness in sterling after the Brexit vote, as it posted a 6 percent fall in full-year revenue. The 250-year-old company said trading

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