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Broker tips: Johnston Press, Direct Line, Hikma Pharmaceuticals

Thu, 04th Aug 2016 11:01

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press shares plunged on Thursday as Numis placed its rating and target price 'under review' after the company swung to a first half loss.For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked a £183.6m non-cash impairment reflecting a change of assumptions on its publishing titles and print assets.Advertising revenues were down 17.9% in the first quarter but improved marginally, with a 15% drop in the second quarter despite the impact of the run-up to and uncertainty following the UK's vote to leave the European Union in June.Chief executive Ashley Highfield said the market continues to be challenging and uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Brexit negotiations has caused further softness in some segments of the advertising market, in June and July.Numis said the half year results came in below its estimates at every level."Our key issue at Johnston remains debt which has risen to £209m (from £179.4m) representing almost 4x our annualised EBITDA."This material debt pile, relative to cashflows, in combination with the declining and uncertain trading environment place a significant question mark on the equity value in the business."Numis said it expects to cut estimates "reasonably sharply" in both fiscal years 2016 and 2017. Direct Line Insurance Group's rating has been downgraded to 'hold' from 'buy' by Berenberg as the broker said "questions remain about earnings sustainability"."We believe there is some risk regarding the sustainability of Direct Line's earnings," Berenberg said in a note on Wednesday."High reserve releases, lower than forecast cost savings and a shrinking direct market all cast doubt on future earnings."Berenberg said older accident years have been incredibly profitable for Direct Line but these years are now contributing increasingly less releases.The broker said it does not expect to see the same developments in more recent accident years. Berenberg believes it will be difficult for management to offset falling reserve releases with the current accident year and operating improvements."As reserve releases decline, we expect earnings to be flat at best, thus we believe it will be challenging to grow the dividend from here," the broker said.Berenberg reiterated a target price of 406p.Direct Line on Tuesday posted its half year report for the six months to 30 June on Tuesday. Operating profit fell 5% to £316.9m, hurt by lower investment gains and the new Flood Re levy, but the group beat its own consensus estimates of £263m. Analysts at Citi downgraded their recommendation on shares of Hikma Pharmaceuticals in the wake of the company´s trading update which was issued after the close of trading in London on 3 August.Hikma flagged new drug approvals were arriving more slowly than expected and the phasing of litigation costs at US generics.On the basis of the above, the broker´s analysts lowered their recommendation on the shares from 'buy' to 'neutral' and set a target price of 2,600p.They also lowered estimates for the drugmaker´s core 2016 earnings before interest and taxes and earnings per share by 9.0% to $367m and $1.08, respectively - below the equivalent figures of $420m and $1.22 expected by the consensus.EPS estimates from 2017 onwards were cut by between 2% and 5% from 2017 onwards, with rates in foreign exchange markets expected to be an "incremental headwind".What was Citi´s view? "Developments at US Generics at best can be described as a 'short term hiccup'. At worse, sentiment concerns around the revenue/margin potential from the Roxane pipeline will increase, which is not helped by the lack of clarity on the pipeline given commercial sensitivities until 2017."If one were to cut his Roxane pipeline estimates by half, that would lead to EPS downgrades of between -15.0% and -20.0%, Citi said.Citi estimated the company´s net present value (NPV) at 2,900p, with a weighted average cost of capital of 8.0%, a terminal growth value (the rate at which free cash flows are expected to grow for eternity) of 2.0% and cable´s exchange rate at 1.32.
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25 Jan 2017 10:14

Johnston Press wins contract to print Daily Mail

(ShareCast News) - Multimedia company Johnston Press, owner of brands like The Scotsman and The Yorkshire Post, has won a contract to print the Monday to Saturday issues of the Daily Mail for an undisclosed sum. The agreement comes after Associated Newspapers, a wholly owned subsidiary of DMGT respo

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17 Jan 2017 11:07

Johnston Press sells East Anglia newspaper business for £17m

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press, the owner of the i, the Scotsman and many local newspapers, has sold its East Anglia business for £17m in order to focus on key growth areas. The London-listed company said it has completed the sale of Johnston Publishing East Anglia, which owns 13 publishing tiles

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19 Dec 2016 09:07

Johnston Press Agrees To Amend Terms Of Debt Facility With Lenders

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14 Nov 2016 07:58

Johnston Press confirms late discussions with Iliffe Media

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press confirmed on Monday that it is in late discussions with Iliffe Media about the potential disposal of certain titles. The company, which completed the £4.25m sale of its Isle of man titles to Tindle Newspapers back in August, has previously announced that as part of

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10 Nov 2016 10:54

Johnston Press sees its performance continuing in-line

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press sees its performance continuing in line with expectations as it focuses on cost cutting to mitigate revenue declines and impact of sterling's weakness on paper prices. "Following the successful disposal of the Isle of Man titles in August, we continue to explore opp

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26 Oct 2016 08:29

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Goldman Slightly Less Negative On UK Grocers

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11 Sep 2016 15:45

Sunday newspaper round-up: Inflation, MPC, Tesco, Rolls-Royce, Morrisons

(ShareCast News) - At their meeting this week, the Bank of England's rate setters are expected to pause and take stock of the impact on the economy of its recent interest rate cut, while UK inflation is set to continue its modest rise figures are likely to show. While inflation is likely to be boost

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23 Aug 2016 15:58

London close: Blue-chip miners, banks push FTSE higher as house builders fly

(ShareCast News) - London indices closed up thanks to heady gains among house builders after Persimmon posted robust first-half results, with miners, financials and supermarkets also on the up. While house builders dominated the top end of the blue-chip leaders' ladder, it was "miners and banks that

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14 Aug 2016 17:49

Sunday newspaper round-up: Brexit in 2019, bank regulation, ITV, William Hill

(ShareCast News) - Britain could remain in the EU until late 2019, almost a year later than predicted, ministers have privately warned senior figures in the City of London. Theresa May has been expected to enact article 50 in January, setting in train the formal two years of negotiations before Brex

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10 Aug 2016 08:35

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Panmure Raises RSA Insurance To Buy From Hold

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7 Aug 2016 13:59

Sunday share tips: Johnston Press, IG Design

(ShareCast News) - Sell shares in Johnston Press, was the advice of the Sunday Times' Inside the City column. The publisher, recently added to its stable of local newspaper that ranges from the Burnley Express and the Isle of Man Examiner down to the Crawley Observer and Portsmouth's The News, with

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4 Aug 2016 10:00

Numis puts Johnston Press 'under review' after first half results

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press shares plunged on Thursday as Numis placed its rating and target price 'under review' after the company swung to a first half loss. For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked

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4 Aug 2016 09:46

Johnston Press swings to loss in first half

(ShareCast News) - Newspaper publisher Johnston Press swung to a loss in the first half, mainly on the back of an impairment charge. For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked a £183.6m non-cash impairment re

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8 Jul 2016 11:43

Johnston Press chipper on 'i' newspaper readership

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press is increasing the readership of 'i' newspaper at a clip ahead of management views, with advertising revenue hitting a fresh high in the week to 29 June. The last week's sales showed daily circulation consistently more than 300,000, peaking at 319,000 on 29 June. In

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