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Pin to quick picksJohnston Press PLC Share News (JPR)

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Broker tips: Johnston Press, Direct Line, Hikma Pharmaceuticals

Thu, 04th Aug 2016 11:01

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press shares plunged on Thursday as Numis placed its rating and target price 'under review' after the company swung to a first half loss.For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked a £183.6m non-cash impairment reflecting a change of assumptions on its publishing titles and print assets.Advertising revenues were down 17.9% in the first quarter but improved marginally, with a 15% drop in the second quarter despite the impact of the run-up to and uncertainty following the UK's vote to leave the European Union in June.Chief executive Ashley Highfield said the market continues to be challenging and uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Brexit negotiations has caused further softness in some segments of the advertising market, in June and July.Numis said the half year results came in below its estimates at every level."Our key issue at Johnston remains debt which has risen to £209m (from £179.4m) representing almost 4x our annualised EBITDA."This material debt pile, relative to cashflows, in combination with the declining and uncertain trading environment place a significant question mark on the equity value in the business."Numis said it expects to cut estimates "reasonably sharply" in both fiscal years 2016 and 2017. Direct Line Insurance Group's rating has been downgraded to 'hold' from 'buy' by Berenberg as the broker said "questions remain about earnings sustainability"."We believe there is some risk regarding the sustainability of Direct Line's earnings," Berenberg said in a note on Wednesday."High reserve releases, lower than forecast cost savings and a shrinking direct market all cast doubt on future earnings."Berenberg said older accident years have been incredibly profitable for Direct Line but these years are now contributing increasingly less releases.The broker said it does not expect to see the same developments in more recent accident years. Berenberg believes it will be difficult for management to offset falling reserve releases with the current accident year and operating improvements."As reserve releases decline, we expect earnings to be flat at best, thus we believe it will be challenging to grow the dividend from here," the broker said.Berenberg reiterated a target price of 406p.Direct Line on Tuesday posted its half year report for the six months to 30 June on Tuesday. Operating profit fell 5% to £316.9m, hurt by lower investment gains and the new Flood Re levy, but the group beat its own consensus estimates of £263m. Analysts at Citi downgraded their recommendation on shares of Hikma Pharmaceuticals in the wake of the company´s trading update which was issued after the close of trading in London on 3 August.Hikma flagged new drug approvals were arriving more slowly than expected and the phasing of litigation costs at US generics.On the basis of the above, the broker´s analysts lowered their recommendation on the shares from 'buy' to 'neutral' and set a target price of 2,600p.They also lowered estimates for the drugmaker´s core 2016 earnings before interest and taxes and earnings per share by 9.0% to $367m and $1.08, respectively - below the equivalent figures of $420m and $1.22 expected by the consensus.EPS estimates from 2017 onwards were cut by between 2% and 5% from 2017 onwards, with rates in foreign exchange markets expected to be an "incremental headwind".What was Citi´s view? "Developments at US Generics at best can be described as a 'short term hiccup'. At worse, sentiment concerns around the revenue/margin potential from the Roxane pipeline will increase, which is not helped by the lack of clarity on the pipeline given commercial sensitivities until 2017."If one were to cut his Roxane pipeline estimates by half, that would lead to EPS downgrades of between -15.0% and -20.0%, Citi said.Citi estimated the company´s net present value (NPV) at 2,900p, with a weighted average cost of capital of 8.0%, a terminal growth value (the rate at which free cash flows are expected to grow for eternity) of 2.0% and cable´s exchange rate at 1.32.
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8 Jul 2016 09:12

EXTRA: Johnston Press Reports Boost To 'i' Readership Following Brexit

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8 Jul 2016 06:48

Johnston Press Reports Material Lift In Readership Of 'i' Newspaper

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4 Jul 2016 12:25

Johnston Press to sell Isle of Man titles for £4.25m

(ShareCast News) - Newspaper publisher Johnston Press has agreed to sell its titles on the Isle of Man to UK-based publisher Tindle Newspapers for £4.25m in cash. The disposal includes the Isle of Man Examiner, Isle of Man Courier, Manx Independent and www.iomtoday.co.im, and will be effected by the

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4 Jul 2016 10:53

Johnston Press Sells Isle Of Man Titles For GBP4.3 Million

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18 May 2016 08:31

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Goldman Upgrades Booker, Panmure Cuts Meggitt

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18 May 2016 07:27

Johnston Press Anticipates Meeting Expectations As Revenue Declines

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11 May 2016 15:05

AGM, EGM Calendar - Week Ahead

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11 Apr 2016 08:02

Johnston Press completes purchase of i newspaper

(ShareCast News) - Regional newspaper publisher Johnston Press said it had completed its takeover of the i newspaper from Independent Print Ltd. The newspaper, launched as a digest of material from the Independent five years ago, was purchased for £24m. The Independent was shut down in March by own

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6 Apr 2016 08:38

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Berenberg Cuts Telecom Plus To Hold From Buy

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22 Mar 2016 10:39

Johnston Press signals further job cuts as profits rise

(ShareCast News) - Widespread cost cutting led to a 23% leap in pre-tax profit at Johnston Press, though the newspaper publisher warned more cutbacks could be on the way. The London-listed owner of a number of regional papers concentrated in Scotland and the North of England saw total revenue declin

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22 Mar 2016 10:39

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Brussels Explosions Send Travel Stocks Lower

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22 Mar 2016 09:36

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: HSBC Downgrades Barclays To Hold From Buy

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22 Mar 2016 08:36

Johnston Press Swings To Profit On Lower Costs, Optimistic On i Paper

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15 Mar 2016 16:15

Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Week Ahead

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15 Mar 2016 11:37

BUZZ-UK Budget: Liberum latest to warn of interest tax change

** Liberum latest broker to warn a possible change in the way UK allows cos to claim tax breaks could hit highly-levered stocks ** Government looking to cap tax breaks from interest payments on debt at 10-30 pct of EBITDA. Link: http://bit.ly/1MgJSoO ** Liberum screens for stocks with

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