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Pin to quick picksJohnston Press PLC Share News (JPR)

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Broker tips: Johnston Press, Direct Line, Hikma Pharmaceuticals

Thu, 04th Aug 2016 11:01

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press shares plunged on Thursday as Numis placed its rating and target price 'under review' after the company swung to a first half loss.For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked a £183.6m non-cash impairment reflecting a change of assumptions on its publishing titles and print assets.Advertising revenues were down 17.9% in the first quarter but improved marginally, with a 15% drop in the second quarter despite the impact of the run-up to and uncertainty following the UK's vote to leave the European Union in June.Chief executive Ashley Highfield said the market continues to be challenging and uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Brexit negotiations has caused further softness in some segments of the advertising market, in June and July.Numis said the half year results came in below its estimates at every level."Our key issue at Johnston remains debt which has risen to £209m (from £179.4m) representing almost 4x our annualised EBITDA."This material debt pile, relative to cashflows, in combination with the declining and uncertain trading environment place a significant question mark on the equity value in the business."Numis said it expects to cut estimates "reasonably sharply" in both fiscal years 2016 and 2017. Direct Line Insurance Group's rating has been downgraded to 'hold' from 'buy' by Berenberg as the broker said "questions remain about earnings sustainability"."We believe there is some risk regarding the sustainability of Direct Line's earnings," Berenberg said in a note on Wednesday."High reserve releases, lower than forecast cost savings and a shrinking direct market all cast doubt on future earnings."Berenberg said older accident years have been incredibly profitable for Direct Line but these years are now contributing increasingly less releases.The broker said it does not expect to see the same developments in more recent accident years. Berenberg believes it will be difficult for management to offset falling reserve releases with the current accident year and operating improvements."As reserve releases decline, we expect earnings to be flat at best, thus we believe it will be challenging to grow the dividend from here," the broker said.Berenberg reiterated a target price of 406p.Direct Line on Tuesday posted its half year report for the six months to 30 June on Tuesday. Operating profit fell 5% to £316.9m, hurt by lower investment gains and the new Flood Re levy, but the group beat its own consensus estimates of £263m. Analysts at Citi downgraded their recommendation on shares of Hikma Pharmaceuticals in the wake of the company´s trading update which was issued after the close of trading in London on 3 August.Hikma flagged new drug approvals were arriving more slowly than expected and the phasing of litigation costs at US generics.On the basis of the above, the broker´s analysts lowered their recommendation on the shares from 'buy' to 'neutral' and set a target price of 2,600p.They also lowered estimates for the drugmaker´s core 2016 earnings before interest and taxes and earnings per share by 9.0% to $367m and $1.08, respectively - below the equivalent figures of $420m and $1.22 expected by the consensus.EPS estimates from 2017 onwards were cut by between 2% and 5% from 2017 onwards, with rates in foreign exchange markets expected to be an "incremental headwind".What was Citi´s view? "Developments at US Generics at best can be described as a 'short term hiccup'. At worse, sentiment concerns around the revenue/margin potential from the Roxane pipeline will increase, which is not helped by the lack of clarity on the pipeline given commercial sensitivities until 2017."If one were to cut his Roxane pipeline estimates by half, that would lead to EPS downgrades of between -15.0% and -20.0%, Citi said.Citi estimated the company´s net present value (NPV) at 2,900p, with a weighted average cost of capital of 8.0%, a terminal growth value (the rate at which free cash flows are expected to grow for eternity) of 2.0% and cable´s exchange rate at 1.32.
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3 Feb 2016 09:31

Johnston Press rallies on pension deficit reduction

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press said the findings of the study it carried out to assess the liabilities of its pension plan are expected to reduce the present value of the media group's plan by around £50m. In addition, the company said that following a change to the scheme rules agreed by the tru

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3 Feb 2016 08:51

BUZZ-Johnston Press: best day in 3 yrs on pension deficit reduction

** Shares in "The Scotsman" publisher Johnston Press up more than 15 pct pension deficit cut by >50% ** Co undertook pension study to streamline the pension scheme ** Now expects to reduce deficit by c50 mln stg (deficit on Jan 3 2015 was 90 mln stg) ** Liberum says this shrink

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3 Feb 2016 07:50

Johnston Press Says Study Set To Cut Pension Scheme Deficit

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19 Jan 2016 14:48

Johnston Press to sell titles as digital focus intensifies

(ShareCast News) - As well as confirming profits in line with forecasts, local newspaper publisher Johnston Press said it may sell several of its non-core titles in order to focus on digital growth. The company, whose titles range from dailies such as the Scotsman and the Yorkshire Post to around 19

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19 Jan 2016 09:35

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: UBS Upgrades Burberry To Buy From Neutral

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19 Jan 2016 07:43

Johnston Press Revenue Declines But Earnings To Meet Expectations

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1 Dec 2015 14:52

Johnston Press reorganises with central editorial team

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press has appointed an editor-in-chief and created two publishing director positions as part of the local newspapers group's editorial restructuring process to "shift focus away from traditional geographic reporting lines". Yorkshire Evening Post and Yorkshire Post editor

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19 Nov 2015 10:25

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Poundland Discounted As Sales Decline

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19 Nov 2015 10:06

BUZZ-Johnston Press: hits life-low as print, publishing revenues drop

** Johnston Press's shares fall as much as 14.4 pct to a life-low of 45.39p as co reports fall in print and publishing revenues, for 17-week period, due to weak advertising markets ** Co says print advertising revenue falls nearly 15 pct and publishing revenue by about 11 pct for the 17 wee

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19 Nov 2015 09:26

Johnston Press To Meet Profit Expectations For Full Year

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7 Oct 2015 10:43

Johnston Press closes more titles as it looks to cut costs

(ShareCast News) - Media group Johnston Press announced the closure of several print titles as it looks to cut costs and focus on its online expansion. The company said a number of its smaller free print titles have been closed, which will allow it to focus resources on its digital offering in those

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7 Oct 2015 07:34

Johnston Press Makes Further Progress On Cost Cuts As Titles Closed

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14 Sep 2015 10:34

UPDATE 2-UK's Trinity Mirror in talks to buy rival Local World

(Adds Local World no comment, analyst, background and detail; also updates shares) Sept 14 (Reuters) - Britain's Trinity Mirror Plc, publisher of the Daily Mirror and Sunday Mirror newspapers, is in talks to buy rival Local World Holdings Ltd as it attempts to build scale to help counteract

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