RE: TUI adjusts FY 2026 underlying EBIT guidance28 Apr 2026 19:49
I think you’re giving one person way too much credit here. There’s no solid proof anyone is deliberately flipping the Hormuz situation on and off, and the whole thing involves loads of countries with their own agendas.
And about TUI “shooting up” — that’s not a sure thing at all. Travel stocks don’t magically bounce just because a conflict cools down. They move on fuel costs, demand, consumer confidence, and the wider economy. If the situation drags on or gets worse, they can just as easily drop again.
So yeah, the whole idea that someone’s pulling the strings and that TUI is guaranteed to rocket feels a bit too neat. Probably better to look at the actual business numbers and how much risk you’re happy taking, rather than betting on world events playing out exactly how you hope.