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Even stranger things (geddit?) well maybe not. A total of 50 trades goodness me anyone would think the bod had a word to say....OK that's wishful thinking I know. Regardless we just go up and down within the spread great for the MMs but pointless for you and me. Have a good afternoon and wait for the closing price which will be 840-870 as it has been for many weeks, so all the "huff and puff" of today has been a waste of space. That's OK by me as it mostly is in these crazy mrkts. I keep my strong buy recommend on the nos so far as I have heard nothing to dissuade me.
I haven't collated today's trade deals or vols but a quick look methinks buy volume outpaces sell and that's a signal to sell if ever I saw one.
Afternoon all.
What a strange day, 30 trades before midday...
Wall St fell on weakness in big tech as investors turned sellers of the "Mag 7" which have been driving the 500 to record highs this last 12 months at the expense of the wider market.
Apple fell to a 4 month low and the 5th day in a row on news sales in China fell 24% in the first 6 weeks of this year due to increaed competition from Huawei up 64%. Chinese consumers are abandoning US tech in favour of homemade products like the MATE 60 featuring a Chinese made chip.
Tesla ($181) fell 5% on news its European gigafactory near Berlin halted production after a suspected arson attack. The stock has been a very poor performer this year down 27%.
The major indexes had a bad day the Dow off 405, the S&P down 52 and the Nsdq fell 329
as investors snatched profits. The economic news was a mixed bag showing slower services industry growth in Feb but offset by new orders growing to a 6 month high signalling continued strength in the sector confirmed by the latest PMI nos.
Issues 2912
Advances 1188
Declines 1638
U/c 86
NH 167
NL 37
T/vol(bn) 4•4
-------------
DJ -405 (38,585)
SP -52 (5079)
NS -329 (17,898)
R2 -6 (1298)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•152%
-----------
MSCI(W) -25 (3337).
Gold Bugs +1 (221)
----------------
Latest :- Vix 14. Brent $82.
Gold $2126. Copper $3•850.
Palm $985. Silver $23•865.
$1•271. €1•170.
FF +9. DF +10.
Morning all.
Wall St briefly managed to turn positive in the final hour but failed to find support and ended slightly down on the day as investors paused for breath ahead of a week packed with key data.
Job (non farm) nos and Fed Chair Powells congressional testimony report coming on Wed and Thursday where traders price in a 70% chance for a June rate cut will be most watched for any signs of the economy cooling.
Investors were most active in the tech space as megacaps were sold off. Apple fell $5 to $175 after a $2bn EU antitrust fine for preventing Spotify and other music streamers from informing users of other payment options outside its App store.
Micron, Arm & Taiwan SC headed higher on back of Nvidia's mrkt cap closing above $2tn for the first time. The stock gaining $36 to $858 after $875 high. Super Micro ($1074) jumped 18% ahead of its inclusion in the S&P 500 index. SM stock has soared from c.$5bn in 2022 to over $60bn this week. MACY'S jumped 16% after Arkhouse management raised their all cash offer to $24, valuing the store at $6•6bn.
Nyse data
Issues 2921
Advances 1218
Decliners 1613
U/c 90
NH 289
NL 36
T/vol(bn) 4•8
-------------
DJ -97 (38,990)
SP -6 (5131)
NS -76 (18,226)
R2 -7 (1304)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•213%
-----------
MSCI(W) -2 (3362)
Gold Bugs +10 (220)
----------------
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $83.
Gold $2116. Copper $3•850.
Palm $972. Silver $23•960.
$1•268. €1•168.
FF -21. DF -84.
Morning all.
MSi-DS will be at the UAS Technology Conference in London on the 16-17th April. More info available on ADVFN board.
Japan's Nikkei burst through the 40,000 barrier at mid session gaining 324 points to an intra-day all-time high at 40,315. Stocks were boosted by a weaker yen v the USD, core inflation of 2% dropping to it's lowest level in 22 months and demand for tech & computer related stocks.
While equities cont to climb new highs the BOJ keeps pumping money into a struggling economy which slipped back into a technical recession late last year. In the face of deflationary worries the BOJ has been easing credit facilities to companies and the general public in an effort to boost spending.
Currently overseas investors are the bigest volume traders on the Nikkei which ended the day up 187 at 40.098. Unexpectedly Japan slippeddown the leaderboard in the global economic 'heft' stakes relegated to number 4 behind the US, China and Germany.
On other Pacifica exchanges Sydney closed down 12 at 7745 after touching 7769 an all-time high. Elsewhere Taiwan and S.Korea closed 2% and 1% better both near record highs, while Shanghai and Hong-Kong plod along little changed. Indonesian regions are mixed with small gains in KL while Singapore and Jakarta are slightly lower on local factors.
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $84.
Gold $2081. Copper $3•848.
Palm $1015. Silver $23•245.
$1•266. €1•167. WTI $80.
10ytb 4•212. FF -13. DF -52.
Morning all.
DJ +91 (39,087)
SP +40 (5137)
NS +259 (18,303)
R2 +6 (1311)
WTI $80
10y/tb 4•185%
------------
MSCI(W) +27 (3364)
Gold Bugs +7 (211)
----------------
Close :- Vix 13. Brent $83.
Gold $2082. Copper $3•859.
Palm $1015. Silver $23•345.
Yen 150. Yuan 7•20.
$1•265. €1•167.
Morning all.
MSI data
Wk 9
-------
840-870
L/yr 560
High 935
Low 443
-------
T/trds 70
T/vols 61,600
Buys 32,100
Sells 29,500
Buy% 52
Avtrd 885
Av£ 696
ADN 12,400
-----------
Ytd
Msi -2%
Ftse -1%
All -1%
250 -3%
Aim -2%
Good morning all.
More than happy to see sellers leaving MSi for whatever pastures new they see. I'm still a buyer at sub 800 so come on let's be having you non believers!
The Nsdq hit a record high yesterday of 18,044 for the first time in 2 years propelled by investor optimism about Ai and megacap tech counters.
Nvidia posted another record close at $797 up $21 on the day and 64% up this year.
Not to be outdone the Nikkei 225 also hit a fresh record putting on 760 points to close just short of 40,000 extending the 8% surge of the previous week. The 225 blue chip index has risen nearly 20% this year outpacing every other global stock market of note.
All 3 major US indexes are on track for their 4th monthly advances as a Dept of Commerce report showed the personal consumption index climbed 0•3% in Jan as forecast and at 2•4% annually.
Initial jobless claims for the wk ending Feb 24 stood at 215,000 slightly higher than expected.
The nos pleased investors as the Dow, S&P and Small Caps all gained if only marginally. Stocks in focus inc the oddly named Snowflake ($188) sliding 21% as the cloud data storage firm projected revs below estimates as the CEO quit the company.
WW ($3•12) also known as Weight Watchers International has struggled to turn a profit fell c.20% on news Oprah Winfrey will leave the firm. The stock is down 63% ytd. Oprah Winfrey first disclosed a holding of 9•88m shares in 2015. She will donate her 1•13m shares to the National Museum of African American History & Culture.
---------------
Nyse data
Issues 2907
Advances 1987
Declines 851
U/c 69
NH 239
NL 23
T/Vol(bn) 5•2
------------
DJ +47 (38,996)
SP +27 (5096)
NS +169 (18,044)
R2 +8 (1305)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•250%
-----------
MSCI(W) +15 (3337)
Gold Bugs +5 (205)
----------------
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $82.
Gold $2045. Copper $3•848.
Palm $1015. Silver $22•955.
$1•264. €1•168.
FF +50. DF +80.
Morning all.
DJ -23 (38,949)
SP -8 (5070)
NS -97 (17,874)
R2 -9 (1297)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•280%
-----------
MSCI(W) -9 (3323)
Gold Bugs -3 (199)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 14. Brent $82.
Gold $2035. Copper $3•852.
Palm $1015. Silver $22•700.
$1•267. €1•169.
FF +10. DF -14.
------------
Nyse data
Issues 2911
Advances 1288
Decliners 1541
U/c 82
New high 164
New lows 35
T/vol(bn) 3•8
------------
Morning all.
The Dow led the Street lower yesterday as investors await a crucial inflation report and other economic data the highlight being the release of January's personal consumption expenditure index (The Fed's preferred inflation gauge). Currently investors price in a 60% chance the Fed will cut rates in June. Other nos expected are US GDP and new jobless claims.
The 3 major indexes ended mixed the Dow slipping 96 while the 500 and Nsdq eked out small gains, the small caps pushed up 10 to 1306.
Stock of the year Nvidia slipped to $785 as investors fear a reckoning as over exuberance blows up the 'bubble' to enormous proportions.
On a lighter note, Elon Musk was forced to eat humble pie after cancelling a 4000 mini pies order at the last minute. A San Jose bakery was left $2000 out of pocket when Musk walked. However Elon paid up when news broke across social media and offered to double his order. Tesla shares at $200 a pie were left on the shelf.
Nyse data
Issues 2917
Advances 1606
Decliners 1224
U/c 87
New highs 181
New lows 22
T/vol(bn) 3•9
------------
DJ -96 (38,972)
SP +9 (5078)
NS +18 (17,791)
R2 +10 (1306)
WTI $79
10 y/tb 4•297%
-------------
MSCI(W) +6 (3332)
Gold Bugs -2 (202)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $82.
Gold $2030. Copper $3•838.
Palm $1035. Silver $22•400.
$1•266. €1•169.
FF +4. DF -25.
-----------
Morning all.
Apologies yesterday's update was inaccurate. Should have read Sells 21,820 and buys 16,420.
One should not read anything into the current share price falls for as most of us know its a snapshot in time. Currently the shares are trading more or less in the spread with no recent discernable direction apart from some weakness noticed around 850-870.
As long as your an investor holding longer than 5 minutes with a view to match you should do reasonably well in the years ahead but as ever you need to stay the course through good and bad times.
MSi have had more than their share of bad times! You don't believe me? Well how about the period 1992-2004 when the sp flatlined for nigh on 12 years going from 37 to 45p. A 22% increase over the period. If that ain't stagflation I don't know what is!
But that was then. The company has moved on to take advantage of the opportunities thrown up to support Ukraine in its hour of need and build on the long standing good relationship with the US Navy as outlined by the Chairman in a recent update.
So far we have secured valuable contracts from the UK MOD, US Navy and unknown Europe contacts which have boosted our profile as a company that delivers on time and on budget. That is hugely important for a small defence contractor competing with the big boys, we have to be super efficient in a sector with high barriers to entry.
I have added to my holdings in the last week and am happy to pay 900 which was the last trade dealt today on volume of 38,240, (sells 16,420 v buys 21,820) as of today's close.
Evening all.
DJ -62 (39,069)
SP -19 (5070)
NS -4 (17,933)
R2 u/c (1296)
WTI $77
10ytb 4•277%
-----------
MSCI(W) -8 (3326)
Gold Bugs -3 (204)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 14. Brent $81.
Gold $2033. Copper $3•848.
Palm $957. Silver $22•535.
$1•268. €1•169.
FF -13. DF -14.
Nyse Data
--------
Issues 2911
Advances 1136
Decliners 1689
U/c 86
T/vol(bn) 3•8
-------------
A dull day on the Street for most investors as stocks paused for breath after the rises of last week, the Dow climbing over 600 points (6% up to date).
The S&P has risen 15 out of the last 17 sessions something that has only happened once in the last 50 years. Yesterday the index added just 2 points as investors cont to fixate on all things tech. Micron Tech which has lagged other firms put on $4 to $90 while Nvidia ($789) slipped back as hedge funds took profits on FAANGs.
Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high of $647,000 but slipped on profit taking after news its power company was being investigated by the Govt. That sent the class A stock down to $615,536 on its 2•170m outstanding.
Buffet warned investors in his annual letter that the 'eye-popping' boom days are over for the company on lack of opportunities that can move the needle. However he continues to pile u cash now a staggering $167•6bn equivalent to the 74th largest US company by value and more than Unilever and BP.
Bigest loser on the day was Intuitive Machines ($6) plunging 35% after the company said its Odysseus spacecraft had tipped over after touching down on the moon's surface.
Morning all.
UK defence / related companies (all time) share price returns.
BAE (1988) +1222%
RR (1988) +790%
Msi (1988) +696%
Chem (1993) +692%
Serco (1993) +663%
Senior (1988) +298%
Cohort (2006) +268%
Babck (1993) +186%
Qinetic (2006) +72%
Avon (1988) +47%
Inflation data due this week from the US, Europe and Japan is keeping investors on the sidelines at the start of (wk 9) trading week.
In Japan stocks are being chased higher by investors in post holiday trading. The 225 closed the morning session above the 39,300 level on back of blue chips and gains in Honda and Toyota. The weakness of the yen attracting foreign investors to Jaoanese companies.
Exporters were among the bigest gainers with SumCo, Mitsubishi Electric and Marubeni all ahead on the major indexes. Secondary issues tend to be traded on the smaller Japanese exchanges like Nagoya and Sapporo the smallest with just 100 companies listed. The 225 closed up 136 on the day at 39,234.
Elsewhere in Pacifica stocks marked time but Hong Kong and Shanghai were both lower in morning trade. The Chinese Govt says it wants to boost sales of cars, home appliances and other consumer products due to worries about deflation. Over the last year Hong Kong is down 16% and Shanghai 8% on deflationary worries.
Gold is holding up well in the face of Ai mania and shares in Newmont the world's bigest gold producer slumping to a 5 year low. However Central Banks cont to support gold to make up for losses on their bond holdings.
Latest :- Vix 14. Brent $80.
Gold $2030. Copper $3•857.
Palm $990. Silver $22•850.
$1•266. €1•171. 10ytb 4•232.
FF -21. DF -44.
Morning all.
DJ +62 (39,132)
SP +2 (5089)
NS -67 (17,938)
R2 +4 (1295)
WTI $76
-------
MSCI(W) +4 (3334)
Golf Bugs +4 (207)
---------------
Nyse data
Issues 2919
Advances 1750
Decliners 1069
U/c 100
T/vol(bn) 3•6
------------
Close :- Vix 14. Brent $81.
Gold $2035. Copper $3•869.
Palm $990. Silver $22•975.
$1•267. €1•171.
Yen 150•6. Yuan 7•19.
FF -2. DF -29.
The Dow and 500 eked out another closing record for the week bolstered by Ai stocks. Nvidia slipped back late on but gained $48 on the week to $787 briefly passing $2tn in value.
Other big techs paused for breath. Apple, Tesla and Meta falling back on profit taking. Super Micro slumped $130 to $845 on news of a $1•5bn capital raise. Super Micro has been one of the stars of Ai advancing 201% this year and 9466% since its IPO in 2007.
Economic data due next week inc Jan personal consumption index, consumer confidence nos, durable goods and GDP 4Q growth which should give a broader look into the state of the economy. Companies reporting inc 2 retailers Lowe's and Best Buy.
Morning all.
Bloody mob has a will of own....mind you could be the useless operator!
Wk 8 saw little movement in the shares on c.69,000 traded where sells just out paced buys by 36,000 to 33,000 on 62 bargains dealt. London ftse closed 45 better on the week at (7706) unchanged on the year. Last year the ftse & All were 6% ahead.
MSi
Sp
870-900
L/yr 580
-------
T/vol 69,000
Trds 62
Sell 36,000
Sell % 52
Av trd 1015
Day nos 12
Av £ trd 683
-----------
Evening all.
Wk 8 saw little movement in the shares on c.69,000 traded where sells just out paced buys by 36,000 to 33,000 on 62 bargains dealt. London ftse closed 45 better on the week at (7706) unchanged on the year. Last year the ftse & All were 6% ahead.
MSi
Sp
870-900
L/yr 580
-------
T/vol 69,000
Trds 62
Sell 36,000
Sell % 52
Av trd 1015
Day nos 12
Av £ trd 683
-----------
Evening all.
Wk 8 saw little movement in the shares on c.69,000 traded where sells just out paced buys by 36,000 to 33,000 on 62 bargains dealt. London ftse closed 45 better on the week at (7706) unchanged on the year. Last year the ftse & All were 6% ahead.
MSi
Sp
870-900
L/yr 580
-------
T/vol 69,000
Trds 62
Sell 36,000
Sell % 52
Av trd 1015
Day nos 12
Av £ trd 683
-----------
Evening all.
Wk 8 saw little movement in the shares on c.69,000 traded where sells just out paced buys by 36,000 to 33,000 on 62 bargains dealt. London ftse closed 45 better on the week at (7706) unchanged on the year. Last year the ftse & All were 6% ahead.
MSi
Sp
870-900
L/yr 580
-------
T/vol 69,000
Trds 62
Sell 36,000
Sell % 52
Av trd 1015
Day nos 12
Av £ trd 683
-----------
Evening all.
Japan's Nikkei which has taken 34 years to scale new highs broke through 39,000 for the first time yesterday closing up 837 points. This set Wall St blue chips alight powering the Dow up 457 busting 39,000 as blowout results from Nvidia stoked an investment boom in US & global equities.
Not to be outdone the 500 enjoyed its best day in over a year rising 105 pulling the tech heavy Nsdq up 526 to over 18,000 just missing out on another record close. All 11 S&P sectors rose as investors rushed to buy
stocks overlooked by the Ai mania.
Shares in Nvidia leapt 16% closing up $124 to $798 which broke the record for the single bigest one day jump in a companies stock value in history. That rise ($277bn) exceeded the value of Coca Cola the 38th largest global company valued at ($264bn).
Now no 4 in the bigest mrkt cap company list behind Msoft, Apple and Aramco, Nvidia is valued at $1•963tn.
Others exposed to Ai also rallied. AMD ($181) added 11%, Broadcom ($1306) gained 6% and Super Micro Computer ($952) jumped 30%). Short sellers of Nvidia are est to have taken a very painful $2•9bn hit betting against the company.
Electric Vehicle makers Lucid ($3) and Rivian ($12) tumbled 17% & 25% after production nos fell below analysts forecasts. Stagnant sales have forced Rivian to cut its workforce by 10% and both companies need to cut costs massively according to Elon Musk as high interest rates are making EV unaffordable.
-----------------------
Nyse data
Issues 2910
Advances 1736
Declines 1082
U/c 92
T/vol(bn) 4•0
-------------
DJ +457 (39,069)
SP +105 (5087)
NS +526 (18,005)
R2 +4 (1292)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•326%
-----------
MSCI(W) +58 (3330)
Gold Bugs -5 (203)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent $82.
Gold $2020. Copper $3•887.
Palm $1000. Silver $22•660.
$1•266. €1•170.
FF +1. DF +53.
Morning all.
At wks halfway point buys outpacing sells by 1•9:1. Shares 870-920.
It used to be said owning a TV Station was a license to print money. These days its owning big tech and Nvidia stock.
The company duly reported Q4 nos that exceeded most forecasts. Revenues of $22bn and eps of $5•15 handily topped investor hopes and revenues for the current Q would be better than thought. Shares jumped $61 to $763 after hours for a 40% gain this year.
A mixed day for equities the Dow and 500 eked out small gains in lacklustre trading, while the NSDQ slipped 67 for the 3rd straight day on weakness in some tech and cyber security stocks coming under the hammer. In particular Palo Alto Networks cutting guidance sent the stock tumbling 28% to $272
Amazon ($170) gained on news it was to replace Walgreens in the DJIA 30 index next week, which will make the index more relevant in the modern era as Amazons wide range of interests, cloud computing, Ai, healthcare and e-commerce far exceeds the reach of Wallgreens traditional pharmacy brand.
----------------------
Nyse data
Issues 2905
Advances 1423
Decliners 1391
U/c 91
T/vol(bn) 3•8
-------------
DJ +48 (38,612)
SP +6 (4982)
NS -67 (17,429)
R2 -4 (1288)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•304%
-----------
MSCI(W) -2 (3272)
Gold Bugs -1 (208)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent $83.
Gold $2028. Copper $3•877.
Palm $985. Silver $22•985.
$1•264. €1•167.
FF +34. DF +112.
Morning all.
Techs led losses on the Street as chipmaker Nvidia fell abruptly ahead of its 4Q earnings report due after the market closes on Wednesday. Shares fell $31 to $694 in early dealings.
Investors fretted the nos might not justify its lofty valuation and could kill the momentum driving stocks higher such has been the hysteria surrounding the company and all things Ai. The company is facing challenges from all sides. AMD and others are developing their own Ai chips to lessen reliance on Nvidia.
Nvidia recently overtook Tesla as Wall Street's most traded stock averaging $30bn of its stock changing hands daily to Teslas $22bn. At close Nvidia was off $45 to $681 for a days $78bn wipe out.
Away from techmania Walmart the giant retailer hit a record high of $175, raised its dividend by 9% and said it would buy Smart-tv maker Vizio for $2•3bn in cash as it reported 4Q earnings beating forecasts due to higher footfall and double digit e-commerce sales. Walmart ranks no 17 in the league of bigest global companies with a mrkt cap of $474bn.
US lender Capital One backed by Warren Buffet is set to buy rival Discover Financial for $35bn in an all-share stock tie-up that is set to unite two of Americas largest credit card companies. However the deal caught the steely eye of Elizabeth Warren the senior US senator who urged regulators to block the deal on competition grounds.
DFS investors have been offered shares in Cap One worth c.$140 a significant premium to the $110 Friday closing price. Should the deal go through Cap One investors will hold 60% of the stock valued at c.$52bn.
Finally Intel ($45) put on 2% following a report on Friday that the Biden administration is in talks to award more than $280bn in subsidies to the chip industry. Intel will try and wrangle at least $10bn for itself after the CHIPS & Science Act was passed in 2022.
Nyse data
Issues 2909
Advances 1147
Decliners 1685
U/c 77
T/vol(bn) 4•0
-------
DJ -64 (38,564)
SP -30 (4976)
NS -140 (17,546)
R2 -14 (1291)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•275%
-----
MSCI(W) -13 (3274)
Gold Bugs +1 (209)
--------
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent $83.
Gold $2030. Copper $ 3•869.
Palm $1000. Silver $23•185.
$1•263. €1•168.
FF -1 DF -29.
Morning all.
US markets were closed for George Washington Day (Presidents Day) which is observed on the 3rd Monday of Feb each year. Many cities across the US organise parades, historic reenactments and marching bands in honour of past Presidents. US mrkts were all down on Friday.
Far Eastern mrkts fell today as traders reacted to China slashing 5 year loan rates by 25 basis to 3•90%, which failed to excite investors as the nation continues to grapple with a sluggish economic recovery. Shares in Shanghai expecting further stimulus were off a few points on concerns over the housing mrkt slump and knock on effects to consumer spending.
Japan trends slightly better in early deals but the 225 is well below the recent high of 38,742 as Banks were sold off partially offset by gains in big company exporters Panasonic, Canon &
Mitsubishi. Secondary counters saw the bigest rises Omron up 4% and Trend Micro 3%. The Nikkei closed down 97 at 38,377 but up 15% ytd far and away the best global performer of any stock mrkt.
On a dull trading day In Sydney the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates unchanged at 4•35% as the ASX200 fell 7 on the session. News of Sydney Casino Operator Star Entertainment being investigated by the gambling commission for the second time wiped $300m off their value.
Shares in Star slumped 26% to 42c as it deferred release of it's half year results. A previous report found Star unsuitable to hold a gaming license as it sought refinancing twice last year at $1•20 & 60c.
Latest :- Vix 14. Brent $83.
Gold $2019. Copper 3•805.
Palm $1000. Silver $22•980.
$1•258. €1•168.
FF -6. DF -110.
Morning all.