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Ok just for fun give your "Realistic" Prediction of what the sp will be end of day on the 31st when the results are announced? (No wind up ones needed thanks)
The closest gets to gloat and the loser gets called either a ramper or deramper and slated by all!
As I'm the questionaire I wont give my prediction as I ironically dont like doing that anyway!
If you dont like this sort of thing IGNORE THE CONVO!
Remember serious predictions only and its just for fun so no stupid arguments when someone posts a figure you dont like!
i predict 270 after WW's good news on cost cutting & plenty of cash to see them through. **** financials of course but that's already in the sp!
End of month I'll go for 1.73
Am i right to assume that all the people predicting these prices of sub 200 are non shareholders thinking that any of us on here is going to make any difference in the price? if anyone thinks this share is going to these levels my investment advice is sell everything you may hold on opening tomorrow & buy in again when your predicted price is achieved. This will save you a lot of cash!
Just for fun, 232. No reason, really. Could be 280 or 180 or even 330. Too much volatility and too many variables.
What date is results day, please??
Thanks in advance
31 July
https://www.iairgroup.com/en/investors-and-shareholders/financial-calendar/2020
Not normally 1 for guessing but 250. Don't think any real surprises are likely, money has been lost due to covid and that is well known so isn't a shock to anyone. Once the state of play if fully known, money will come back in without any further covid escalation/border closures.
Results day predictions? Depends on the mood of the day. Look at Ocado today. Great results, dropped 50p.
If IAG drop on good day. Could go 10% up.On a bad day 10% down.
For fun only, I'll say 1.80- 1.90 only because I dont see the sp doing great things between now and then.
I'm in at 1.66, for this thread only, I think 180
174p as expect results and cash burn rate to be worse than predicted. Also WW will again paint a very negative outlook due to the necessary restructuring. For transparency I sold out today and intend to buy back in around this price or lower.
@spoon_key look forward to your adjudication at COP tomorrow
I forgot all about this lol, ok so these are the predictions made back then, going to be interesting as there are a few with a shout of getting close :)
Paddyboy1 - 270
smokey1 - 173
TakingMyTime - 232
Moonman1977 - 190
RDLeeds - 250
DaggerMal - 180/190 Bl00dy cheat ;)
TradingPlaces69 - 180
Smartinvestment - 174
Sorry forgot to add, its end of trading tomorrow thats counts, the winner gets to gloat!
270 would be a nice surprise.
186.4
My avg £2.30 I'd take £1.90 but could be £1.60
£1.91-£2 range. I'm basing this based on their losses being £200 million EUR per week (approx. £180m per week) - £750m deal with AMEX and the cargo/passengers they have been able to shift taking them to under £1.5b in losses. Costs will have been cut and if the board has done their job properly losses should be significantly under that figure now.
Have decided to hold till tomorrow, I hope I'm not wrong but I can't sees a massive drop coming after the results tomorrow, nor can I see them announcing a rights issue yet. By my back of a fag packet calculations they should be sitting on £8.5b cash available and some (albeit not a lot) of flights will be generating some income for them now.
224 for me :)
On the basis of data on the plane finder app, average number of BA flights a year ago was circa 100 planes in the sky and now circa 30, I predict slight recovery to £1.80. Very much a fag packet calculation and no idea how full these flights are, but holding these long term, so not really bothered.
Load factors have been really mixed (I’m still flying most days).
Germany was ok (14 in club), economy only 70% full. They are running a321’s on these route (for cargo reasons) they continue to use 787 on one flight a day (most days) to Amsterdam and Madrid (again for cargo reasons not passenger demand).
Italy, Switzerland and Greece have all been decent load factors
If this share were to dip below 160 then something hugely wrong. Huge resilience at 160 level when it was tested before in May, similar to the support at 180. would need to be appalling/unanticipated results to test this level especially as all other negatives are already in the price!
My only concern is the BOD using the results as an opportunity to create more ammo with the unions.
Hopefully the fact the SP is less that 2/3’s of January’s price proves enough damage.
The situation with the union is getting interesting. Unite are claiming everyone are unhappy but it seems to be just the legacy crew that are unhappy, the mixed fleet crew are simply annoyed with Unite and made their feelings towards the unions very clear! (this has come from crew I’ve spoken to on numerous flights)
The worry for the mixed fleet crew is the question mark over redundancy, whereas, legacy it’s the conditions
I have no idea how the back office staff and engineers are feeling
Always interesting reading your posts Portland, so thanks for the various insights. My first thought was the same as your first line; selling even more paintings and also some silver cutlery we found, type of thing. After the Dow bounce and with Fang rising post market/results - in some minds seemingly vindicating their crazy valuations - I think the Dow, and ergo Footsie, will be very buoyant tomorrow. My silly guess: 196.8 at close tomorrow having failed to hold at just over £2.