Charles Jillings, CEO of Utilico, energized by strong economic momentum across Latin America. Watch the video here.
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I doubt it too
Big miss on the non-farm jobs data in the US. Inflation is lasting longer. People not going back to work quickly enough, possibly a slower US economy recovery implied. US taper potentially pushed back to 2022, but I doubt it.
Have they hit for the time being hit full employment with less job opportunities? Unem rate down to 4.8 from 5.1 but expected to find 500,000 jobs and only 190 found. USA economy lagging - spot golds should rise and dollar should fall? Could be very good here for Fresnillo as well as Hoc and Cey.
Any theories on the sudden surge of the POG since NY opened?
Yep, I banged 10% of my portfolio value into CEY and POLY on the announcement. Immediate return.
In the title
Sotolo,
Really can't see the divi being cut and confident it will easily be covered!
Read Goldgnomes post and stop worrying!
n this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire explains why he believes gold is coiled to breakthrough crucial resistance and silver is extremely structurally bullish.
With Options Expiry price-capping playing out exactly as predicted, the precious metals expert reveals that Russia and China are seizing the opportunity to grow their already substantial physical gold reserves.
Shifting to the COMEX, Andrew Maguire crunches the numbers on the tonnes of gold and silver demanded for delivery into the October contract.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0cbafHgqtZ0
Sotolo please note --The opinions expressed in this video of Andrew Maguire and any guest, do not purport to reflect the official policy or position of Kinesis.
I hold some BTC. I hold some CEY. I can see pro's and con's for BTC and AU. Nothing wrong with diversity.
Ahh. Got it.
Yeah, I'm in BTC and the BTC miners. I finally realised that they are no more risky than CEY......
Ultimately, all miners are like a call option on the underlying commodity and if that commodity drops, it gets nasty. I keep telling myself that gold is about to have its day, but the market does not agree and I am concerned that a lot of big investors have moved to BTC. e.g. even George Soros holds it and the trading volume is gargantuan.
At least CEY pays a decent divi.
Equally may buy more if it goes up (eg gold goes
Up)- but it’s tricky as gold can whipsaw on data coming out as other data eg wage growth, hours worked , sectors etc can alter the immediate move- as always do your own research.
Long termers can largely ignore as today is just monthly data points - unless they feel a trend… major long term impacting change as we all know comes from rns- like Oct2020
Bitcoin.
On cey I will wait until 13:30 before I increase or not today.
If it drops may buy more, but dependant on what I think at the time .
@SteveJones: "it’s nearly doubled since the low in July- just saying …"
Hmm. Are you talking about CEY? I don't see any doubling.
I like to tell myself that it's 'dropping less' and the gold *might* be about to shine, but it's a bit early for me to start increasing my position.
In the interest of balance (posts appear when it goes down)- it’s nearly doubled since the low in July- just saying …
Shame thatAndrew Sabisky did'nt spaek up rather than sitting on the fence if this superforecasting predicted what amess the UK would be in now Sotolo!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-51545541
https://fs.blog/2015/12/ten-commandments-for-superforecasters/
Goldgnome excellent summary.
Great posts, your post re your father’s poetry and grandmother reference was also excellent.
Thank you for your contributions.
Yep, just moved broadly in line with all other PMs.
Price most likely to move around 13:30 today when NFP comes out and with ensuing commentary on other aspects.
CI
What is the correlation coefficient between CEY SP, and the price of gold in the last 6 months?
What is the coefficient since Nov 1 2020?
What was the correction that happened at the end of October 2020? This essentially created a 20% instant drop in SP, and started a downward momentum reflecting loss of faith for a short period of time, after which the SP seems to have tracked the POG.
Recall: The reason behind the miner’s share price tumble today is that the company has announced it is reducing its production forecast for the fourth quarter of 2020.
In an operational update, Centamin advised that it has detected movement in a localised area of waste material in its Sukari mine. As a result, it has decided to immediately defer open pit mining operations in this zone. This decision is a preventative measure to protect the health and safety of its workforce and the long-term potential of the Sukari gold mine.
It expects that production for the fourth quarter will be reduced to approximately 70,000 ounces. That compares to preliminary gold production for the third quarter of approximately 120,000 ounces.
So to my childish mind, it seems that what is required is faith to be restored, and confident talking and articulation of strategy and action plans is one step forward of doing this in the short term. If the walk follows the talk, and we see cost savings realised, we see production stabilise and creep up, we see reserve expansion, we see monetarisation of the West African assets, we will see this as building positive SP momentum towards a true value of this company.
If this does not happen, the company in my opinion is undervalued, and as such is a takeover target for growth orientated companies who have competent confident management.
It is not analysts’ education, state school and redbrick/ex poly educated ones are just as bad, it is the nature of the job - read super forecasting, which posits that groups of informed amateurs, who argue their opposing views, are far better than analysts who follow the herd; , why all views are so important on these boards and tolerance of others is not only courteous but helps in seeing where a share will go. With Cey just now it is hard to tell, but if the financial year shows profits much reduced as expected, maybe another lurch down despite what the gold price does, unless investors are prepared to look at the recovery that now begins little more than a year off (if for once all goes according to plan). The other big question is whether profit will cover the divi and if, as is probable,it doesn’t whether and by how much the dividend is cut.
Major stock indexes in Europe were flat to lower in premarket trading on Friday as investors awaited the release of Germany's trade balance data and kept an eye on the Western bloc's relationship with Russia which continued to deteriorate.
The FTSE 100 stood flat at 7:34 am CET, while the DAX lost 0.19% at the same time. The CAC 40 fell 0.22% at 7:25 am CET.
The euro was flat against the dollar and the pound lost 0.10% compared to the US currency at 7:35 am CET, trading for $1.15510 and $1.36044, respectively.
Breaking the News / TT
Friday, y’al have a good weekend!
Well I do agree CI! How people can get hoodwinked into believing these people (brokers), who have never worked in the industry (prob read Ancient History at some University), to the degree they give these guys 1% to buy a share, and then 1% to sell the same share regardless of whether the share price went up or down...well its just stupidity (and as I remarked previously, this disease is far more common than is admitted).
the gnome
ps I have always found Madam LASH, to be very fair in her dealings, and a very steady hand on the rudder, so to speak
Sorry , I posted the previous message on the wrong thread .
Regarding the broker ratings ..just ignore them .
Liberum have them as a sell with a target price of 82p whereas Berenberg have them as a buy at £1.38 ..
Berenberg then changed it to £1.37 !!
FFS...I can't believe how anyone pays any attention to them . The price forecasts were calculated by ex public school boys with posh voices who are well overpaid and probably spend their excess earnings visiting Madame Whiplash to have their bottoms spanked !
So Jeremy resigned from Centamin on nearly the same day Mr Horgan arrived. Why? Maybe something to do with his Endeavour work history (and the failed takeover by Endeavour)
And now he works in Canada as COO of Artemis Gold
Artemis Gold Inc. (TSX-V: ARTG) is pleased to announce the appointment of Jeremy Langford as Chief Operating Officer of the Company effective January 06, 2021.
About Jeremy Langford
Mr. Langford has large multi mine gold producer company experience and an extensive proven on-the-ground track record internationally in managing operations and the development of scale greenfield assets, continually delivering operational success over the past 15 years.
Notably, Mr. Langford served most recently in the role of COO of Centamin Plc and prior to that COO & EVP Construction and Technical Services with Endeavour Mining Corporation, at which time he had the responsibility of advancing Endeavour’s development assets. During his time with Endeavour, he led the successful development and ramp-up of the Agbaou, Hounde, ITY and the Nzema gold projects in West Africa, along with the implementation and integration of owner mining activities across various operations.
--------------------------------------->>>
My Thoughts:
Artemis Gold Inc is at least as far away from production as Centamin's Doropo project and yet it already has a market cap of $ 827 million! (it was valued at around $100 million a year and a half ago prior to announcing its development plans)
The company's forthcoming processing plant & related infrastructure is estimated to cost $ 650 million so they will have arrange for considerable financing or a new share issuance too.
Given that information, how much do we think the market is valuing Centamin's West Africa resources? Zero!
I hope Centamin will seriously consider the benefits of spinning out its West Africa projects into a new entity so current shareholders can see some meaningful value creation in the short & long term while preserving the piggy bank to explore and develop Egypt.
Well I know what support and resistance is and what it means but I share your scepticism about it .
What I do pay attention to though is direction of travel of the share price over a 6 month time frame .
If you Google Cey share price and click on the chart and then on the 6 month time frame you can see a downward momentum from £1.215 in May. Since then the pattern has consistently headed downwards , like a downward moving escalator , and it still doesn't seem to have broken away from it ...until there is a clear break in the pattern , then it could continue on its cycle downward , past the previous low of 89.9 pence
I don't think it will though ..but I don't know if that is more wishful thinking than anything else
What do others think
Lets be honest the country with the largest standing army, most nuclear warheads (etc, etc) hasn't won a war since 1945. But keeps doing the same old thing...seems a strange thing to do, some would say stupid.
best
the gnome