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will always be the financial center whether article 50 is invoked revoked or provoked Saying London will be doomed as a financial center is a very dim view indeed
Standard Chartered to choose between Dublin and Frankfurt in new pasporting operational centre. Brexit jobs losses to start hitting city of London. City of London as s trading centre is doomed if Brexit goes ahead. https://m.yahoo.com/w/legobpengine/finance/news/standard-chartered-mulls-set-eu-054059575.html?.b=news%2F&.cf3=News+and+Analysis&.cf4=3&.cf5=International+Business+Times&.cf6=%2Fnews%2F&.h=News+%26amp%3B+Opinion&.ts=1481092758&.intl=gb&.lang=en-gb
Just look at the charts of various indices and you will see the increases in inflationary times. As I say divs go up in line with inflation and the SPs follow, always have, always will. Otherwise the Pe Would go through the roof.whoke basis of value investing see Woodford etc
.23c ....I'll take that . So much for Leamyk trolling us with sub .10c scenarios.
I dont want to lecture you Bruce or offend Observe by giving my opinion but if you want to call other peoples views bonkers then at least you need some facts to back it up. A few quick google searches throws up the numbers below. Happy to view the info you have. US 1960...inflation=1%.....interest rate=4%....S&P =58 60's stable inf and int = steady growth 1669....inf =5%.....int =7%... S&P =102 Nixon arrives 1969 and starts to borrow and spend. 1975...inf =11%... int=13%... S&P=72 1979...inf =12%.....int =17%....S&P =99 70's. high inflation...high rates = stagnation. Policy change early 80's. 1989...inf...5%.......int =14%.....S&P = 285 1999.....inf = 1.7%....int =5%...S&P =1284 From their peak in early 80's both inflation and interest rates have been on a steady down trend to now when inflation is near zero and interest rates just above . And the S&P...at 2200.
assuming divs keeping up,with inflation SPs will nearly always keep up with inflation look at the 70s and 80s any other view is bonkers!
Have read my way through today's traffic and very interesting it was too - tried posting a comment but lost it due to a fat finger incident - too late to start again because I'm on the first tee early tomorrow because of a ladies competition. Do not see any major alarms ahead before Christmas - then we join the world according to Trump - he could be even worse than George W which will really focus the minds in Europe. Good luck all
Some of the greatest and most learned got us where we are now But to say property's halve price would solve problem would be happy if this was so it's never gong to happen People close to my family are hoping for 10% drop and the are in My own case if I could get place in drumcondra Dublin 9 50% less wold buy with doubt seen ,know its not gong to happen Sorry if make things simple but in real World thats how it is G L A
.. the equivalent of bkir in usd traded today at a very large volume.. normally at 50k shares .. even less.. volume picked up significantly today at over 1mm shares.. as for Cantor predicting pricing.. they have done poor predictions in the past.. the best they can do is either point the arrow <. or the arrow right >.. as for price predictions 2017 .. good luck... if .. there is a dividend.. price should be significantly higher..
Suggest a refresher course in economics for equitrder! Maybe johnmaclean can dust off his lecture books and do the job...just not on this forum. The iniquitous firing up of the printing presses of the socialistic governments of US, Europe, UK and Japan and the circular purchase of sovereign bonds from deficit riddled relics of the past at zero, if not sub libor rates has to be the final kick of an already dead horse. The pursers of this destruction of capitalistic value of demand and supply and the attempt to burn up economic fundamental thought created over centuries of balanced thought need to be driven from the offices that they have managed to infiltrate. The use of Trump's phrase "drain the swamp" comes to mind. Drive the Draghi, Carney, Yellen and joker in Japan out of office....the sooner the better. If that means changing political horses, so be it. Stock markets...don't lose sleep about them until the 2% in the yield curves that have been destroyed by this cabal have been returned to the savers of the world. If the borrowers of the world fall under the wheels so be it. Long overdue is a halving of property prices in all of the abovementioned nations. Remember also you cannot proceed to Economics 201 until you have passed Economics 101!
Every time(one exception)the Fed were 'supposed' to be raising interest rates over the last 4 years they crashed the stock market. Collusion?? Where is the inflation??? New Economic 101??? Trickle down dead??(: Reagan is the hero of the so called deplorables. Trump and his band of merry geriatric billionaires are only interested in 1 thing and thats lining their own pockets.unless they are repenting for their sins of the past and are looking to buy indulgences for their salvation...
Actually in economics 101 higher inflation leads to higher interest rates leads to lower share prices not the other way around. You can see by looking at the s and p what low inflation has done for share prices.
John let me it this to you. A 10% drop in equities will control inflation. (: A lot more manageable than adjusting interest rates or decreasing money supply.
cantor predict that AIB will pay a dividend for H216. With Ulster already paying BoI will follow. As things stand with bond and exchange rate improvement and managements stated aim of paying one asap I would be very surprised if we dont get one for H117 and I know its foolish but I still have a tiny hope that we might get a little something in march next year. It depends on how the next 3 weeks pan out. eg. trump keeps promising to spend billions, Italy patch up some kind of government and bank deal and May and friends continue to realize the bind they are in without a soft brexit.
Tech and the internet poses a huge challenge to traditional banks in the near future but for now your statement that interest rates will never rise again is wrong. It may take a while in europe for rate to rise but the signals that QE will start to taper is not far away. The premise of QE was based on the trickle down effect. that model appears to be broken and as a result you see a huge popular revolt. they have not got their share of the dosh. The rich have got richer and in many countries with a social welfare system the benefits available have not left people any worse off. So the squeezed middle are making it clear to the powers to be that they wont stand for their lot much longer. The ECB will be forced to act to head off problems in Italy, france and of course Germany. What I would add is take Richie's advice if you are a long term borrower and FIX. if an investor get ready to protect your money in a higher inflation economy. I would also say the decks are been stacked in BKIRs favour at the moment (so long as the Euro survives).
Are flocking to Italy. They will drive price down to get the best deal. Right now the write downs are about 50% looks like they want 20% which will bankrupt the country. We are all told to be worried about Russia and China its the American locusts that are the problem whether it be financial or their war mongering.
Sp needs to get away from what ever way the wind blows. As much as I think dividends are ridiculous with a penny share the volatility is just over the radar (sorry) . May a dividend of some sort with give a bit more grip to this share?
Cantor Fitz believe now that a dividend will be paid here in H2/17. And expect SP to be 23.8 next year.
John I know 3 small businesses who raised money thru crowd funding because the banks wouldn't get involved. It still hasn't been properly regulated but imo it will be how your average Joe Soap will earn his returns in the future.
Savers are not been rewarded for leaving the money in the bank. They are been rewarded for allowing the bank to use their money to loan out to people and businesses to fund growth. At least that was the way it should be and use to be. As for interest rates. In normal times higher rates are used to control inflation. Inflation is good for sovereigns as it reduces in real money what they owe. It is inevitable that after huge amounts of QE all over the place that some where down the line we are in for a period of higher inflation and higher interest rates. When is not for sure but without a shadow of doubt the time is coming.
Interest rates will never rise again. 1. because sovereigns have too much debt. 2.Why should you be rewarded for leaving money sitting on deposit in a bank?
The whole point is that Draghi should not be buying bonds in sovereign Europe. QE is a failure and simply a distortion of economics that has resulted in a collapse in yields and a destruction of savers funds whether it is via pension funds, mutual funds or individual savers dealing with their own capital. Where in economics should bankrupt borrowers be able to borrow money at zero or sub zero rates; where in economics has printing money to fund the socialist madness of the misguided left ended in anything but disaster; where in economics has the printed supply of money been allowed to destroy the savings of the world. Time for Draghi to exit and take his misguided policies back to Goldman Sachs. See how long he lasts there blowing their money down the tube!!
Nope I'm pretty happy actually I have a boatload of Amryt Pharmaceutical
Equitrder seems a bit tense!! Did he listen to the UK luney fringe and short the share on Friday. BKIR was trading around 21.25-21.50 on Friday apart from the one off screen sale (reported late on Friday) for 92m shares at 19.80c. No reason to swear on this platform!!!
We will see Bruce the Italian banks seem to be turning down again.