Member Info for Zanab

Brent below 100, which is crazy coming from the weekend expectations. Does it hold above 90-95 today?

The thing is that this is a no-win spiral. The second either side shows a willingness to pursue diplomacy it becomes likely to form the basis of de-escelation, probably quite rapidly imo.

Yeah, but do they actually talk to politicians? Is there any precedent amongst non-allies? I just don't know.

I don't think the IRGC directly talk to anyone diplomatically, do they? It's usually through the ministers.

Bb, the next two years are likely to include impeachment ongoings. I bought a popcorn maker from Lidl to ensure I'm prepared ;)

Llp, agree. The only country advocating continued escalation is Israel; everyone else is supporting the opposite.

Iran will want this to end as well. They might not capitulate, but they sure won't like being bombed.

50/50 this ends this week imo, which would be best for all.

The drops on commodities could be brutal. Still likely to settlle higher than than the 60s.

Taco Monday. BOE of the this madness.

Yeah, for sure. Important to have a diverse range of energy sources given none of them 100% reliable in all circumstances 👍

The long-term demand for oil is on the decline. Shift to renewables and energy independence, hence the oversupply at the boy. It still has a significant place though in the world.

Fleecy, entirely possible, and you might find this interesting. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/22/iran-war-strait-of-hormuz-trump-oil-prices-economy.html

TLDR: no-one is sure what will happen, but feel things could resolve very quickly. Market was in oversupply or had a "glut", which it is working through. If sustained, obviously things can move higher.

Sad to see the inevitable antisemitism come up in our country.

On a lighter and different note, the whole thing calls to mind two points of advice written when the world was a lot more volatile: never sell on a war-scare and selling assets because of inflation alone makes no sense.

The trouble is that Trump didn't have a plan on how to defend the oil supply. He just thought that because he is the biggest that he could just bully without any consequences.

General Bonespurs has no military noise whatsoever, not do the heads of their military. Bibi does, and that's why he has played him like a fool.

This could just be a taco play. Make an ultimatum, start talks, declare victory and try to say it was because of how tough you were.

Yep, Israel will end up very lonely if this continues.

Identity politics and racism against the existing populations are what I'm alluding to. The former is a cancer that is destroying the social contract.

I agreeing most of it, but if the other side actually started to put the majority of Americans first and stopped indulging stupid ideas, lots of Americans wouldn't have voted for him.

Politicians need to stop using their power to do things that cause division in society, even if they think these are nice things to do. Biden wasn't running the country fwiw, it was the people behind him.

Btw, that was shots, not 💩

anyone else feel like there were many smarter ways to deal with iran, some o which included military use, but unfortunately the world now has old men with not much of a stake in the future calling the ****s for their egos.

i don't agree with china on a lot of aspects, but they seem to be the only ones implementing a coherent long-term strategy out of the big global players. everyone else wants to go to war these days.

Who knows? It's a really stupid escalatory cycle. Hopefully, the US realises diplomacy is the best option now, but Bibi seems to be getting Donald's ear. Iran have said explicitly now that they want diplomacy, but you can't have that while you are being attacked, which is understandable to a degree.

The conclusions are, imo, if it continues, that US-Isreali and world-Isreali relations are not as strong for decades. Also, Trump's approval rating will sink below 20%, meaning that there's a chance not only he but his family end up in prison given all the shadiness. Either that or you might have to change your surname from Trump to something else to safely walk down the street.

Hopefully with the preparation for talks that has been reported, they know the right way and don't make stupid moves because Israel don't care about anyone else.

Supply will adapt as will economies imo. The strait will open obviously, but the quicker the president starts listening to the right voices, the less damage will be done.