***Attention All Shareholders*** Please vote down Ganfeng’s Offer of 67.5p per Share!7 May 2021 21:38
This is indeed bad news for Shareholders. Well done to the Daily Telegraph & Sir Iain Duncan-Smith for raising the profile of this yesterday.
Those who invested in Bacanora at 40-60p+ were taking a risk for a reason: if it paid off, their risk would be rewarded with a big payday. That’s how investing in AIM stocks & fledgling companies works. A return of c.50% (for those who risked their hard-earned cash at c.45p a share) is not a just reward for such a valuable asset.
This is hugely political. President Biden & Boris recently expressed concern re China’s economic domination and monopolising key future-proofing commodities. Boris announced the UK intends to stockpile rarer metals & minerals (e.g. Lithium, Cobalt, Copper, Palladium, Rare Earth metals) as China controls much of these commodities via its owned Mines. Then look what happens! For Ganfeng, this Offer is obviously a very shrewd move. But that doesn’t mean we Shareholders should allow it to happen.
According to Shore Capital via a recent vlog, the NAV of BCN’s Sonora Mine stake is worth 200p per Share. Canaccord upgraded BCN to Buy with a Target Price of 85p on 4 Feb 2021. Extrapolating this, BCN’s SP should be 120p by end 2021, with Production starting in 2022, when we should see 200p per Share, IMO. Then, IMO, in 3-5 years (from now) as the Mine ramps up into full Production, we should see 500-650p, assuming Lithium prices don’t rocket in the meantime.
67.5p isn’t just a steal, it’s Daylight Robbery! Dick Turpin would be proud of it!
Remember, the SP hit 67.99p on 12 Jan 2021. (It hit 149p in 2018). This isn’t a fire sale; it has huge potential and is fully funded to Production.
Sure, one of the reasons it’s been made a safer investment and is fully funded is thanks to Ganfeng’s 29.99% Stake, not to mention Ganfeng’s vast experience (it is one of the top 3 global Lithium Producers), but that’s not the point. Ganfeng didn’t lend us Shareholders the money for us to invest, did it?
Personally, I don’t consider all the risk of investing in BCN worth a derisory Offer of 67.5p per Share.
One consideration: larger Shareholders may have to take a one-off hit on CGT as a result of this Offer, rather than spreading their gains across several years and benefiting from CGT Allowances. If this takeover is to happen, at least Shareholders should make sure their gains are worthwhile.
It may well be we’ll see a higher Offer from Ganfeng – ultimately c.200p per Share. G4S’s Board was successful recently in fending off Gardaworld’s initial low Offers; finally obtaining a much better Offer. Entain’s Board more recently rejected an Offer from MGM Resorts because it didn’t represent Entain’s full value. But the way the RNS is worded implies BCN’s Board is going to recommend Ganfeng’s initial Offer. So, we Shareholders may be on our own.
I will be Voting AGAINST Ganfeng’s Offer. I encourage every other Shareholder to do likewise. If you agree, please spread the word