RE: One more observation18 May 2026 07:45
In Australia or Toronto or other markets more knowledgeable the Lassonde curve during construction is absolutely a good model. London AIM there are many examples where the appreciation is late in the construction curve. However the share price/market cap is probably less than half of anything sensible currently.
The early stages aren't particularly sexy to be sure. Demolishing peoples houses and ripping up trees and ground cover grading for a waste or tailings pond doesn't look like much.
They will be building something in a few months rather than destroying something.
However we could see houses being built, electric pylons in place, the security camp, the contractors camp and the road progress.
I found it revealing when Harry said about investors complaining about quarterly updates and the web presentations. The issue is that they were often followed by a call for more money or had little to motivate the market.
Limbo is over and they are opening a mine now. It's definitely happening. Whether the market values it gradually or all at once I don't care. LSE AIM is a wasteland of small knowledgeable investors, very few left. The small players are mostly gamblers and ebb and flow traders driven by BS and soundbite theories.
I can tell you that progress is always painfully slow when you are waiting. This is frontier production in Africa, it's not like opening a mine in a prolific region where everything is s at hand. I think there's plenty of slack in the 27 month schedule. Harry says it's+10 months on a typical WA schedule. This hopefully is how Lycopodium over deliver on this build.
Personally I am cutting them plenty of slack and I am not going anywhere until this is well into steady production and I feel happy to take my stake back.
Harry says the stock market is an exchange of wealth from the impatient to the patient. I think it probably was but not anymore, certainly not the LSE AIM.