RE: Nice top up hooky17 Nov 2023 17:26
Here’s hoping FG. I’ve been through about five years of reports, presentations and interviews. I understand why some long-term investors are frustrated…
I noted a few marked changes, making me think this time is actually different...
1. The recent hirings. COO etc. - This never happened before. It proves intent and confidence from the company. Harry has always kept personal and costs tight.
2. Regulatory changes have been completed.
3. Allied Gold coming into the country with $267M - I think this is a major point. It gives the banks the security that others are now coming into the country, and should the project fail, they can sell it on.
4. Majors are starting to come in.
5. Harry almost smiled in the last presentation.
As I said, I’m not holding my breath for timelines, but some marked changes have occurred.
The S.P. is in the pits by any metric, and I'm sure everyone has their idea of what this is worth after funding is secured.
Using some research, the greatest discount on NPV of a funded to develop mining company is around 62%. The mean is 27%. Which for myself, rightly or wrongly, sets a baseline estimate for what to expect for the market cap.
Grade quality was one of the most significant modifiers of this discount, and Kefi has very good grades.
This revaluation would allow them to trigger the warrants at 1.5p or 1.6p (Memory), for ~ £14m, which should set a baseline for S.P. and give the company options. Things would look significantly different.