RE: Diversify24 Jun 2020 11:14
My thoughts on GGP vs others in the area is very simplistic.
Yes, anyone else (within trucking distance of Telfer) can discover something interesting, but GGP are so far ahead with our JV, so much has been invested by NCM, it is odds on that Hav will go to mine before anything else. Any other discoveries will have long lead time to prove up and produce, whereas we are so far ahead of the game. Scally will likely jump in front of anyone else as well, NCM are more likely to work with an existing partner that they are happy with first. Only our deal looks likely to leverage the substantially reduced CAPEX that Telfer gives us.
Yes, there may be other discoveries, with consequent spikes in price, but the value will eventually drift to GGP/NCM. They may present some interesting takeover targets for us/NCM in 5 years or so too!