Member Info for Weathergeek

News...

March Float article..
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-8138543/STOCK-WATCH-Bad-time-float-Not-says-Italian-tech-firm-Supply-Me.html

Wallet investor ramp
https://walletinvestor.com/lse-stock-forecast/syme-stock-prediction

First Motley article
https://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2020/08/17/interested-in-the-supplyme-capital-share-price-heres-what-you-need-to-know/

Clone of First Motley article
https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/interested-supply-capital-share-price-111312516.html?guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly90LmNvLzVHcGhGelVqdlg_YW1wPTE&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAFWmUY-WqyMjclby43DFngTV0AvpWzXhp2ulm84vff3dq5_qbUGAGFRvbPoBJmFjUr44bCkY3gpc2MhvBWxq5X4sB6PC5dmnSb2MoP1G83u3gXsuUDN8yrUgxLb1Np2MrxdcisxW5796I5QLY_cSwjrIb6mdPaaRQxDBv5d9-xEc&_guc_consent_skip=1597710624

Interview with CEO
https://ibsintelligence.com/podcasts/ep88-alessandro-zamboni-founder-chief-executive-officer-supplyme/

Securitisation
https://born2invest.com/articles/supplyme-capital-close-first-securitization/

Tech analysis
https://www.ii.co.uk/analysis-commentary/where-next-aim-newbie-supplyme-ii513246

Share buyers article
https://www.sharebuyers.co.uk/shares/supplyme-shares-going-for-growth-radical-shake-up-working-capital-access/

2nd Fool article - the hedge.
https://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2020/08/21/the-supplyme-capital-share-price-is-up-750-should-you-buy/

Directors dealing
https://www.sharebuyers.co.uk/shares/supplyme-chairman-buying-shares-director-dealing/

Inventory securitisation article
http://www.onc.hk/en_US/non-traditional-securitisation-inventory-securitisation/

Fintech Times article

https://thefintechtimes.com/three-interesting-fintech-partnerships-in-abu-dhabi/

Abu Dhabi article

https://www.crowdfundinsider.com/2020/08/165359-fintech-firm-supplyme-to-work-with-uaes-imass-llc-on-offering-lending-solutions-abu-dhabi-global-markets-also-working-on-financial-tech/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

Wall Street Journal article

https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-inventories-swell-companies-turn-to-novel-strategies-to-get-through-coronavirus-crisis-11596888000

UK Trading view - Long

https://uk.tradingview.com/chart/SYME/1sc0OMss-long-on-a-hunch/

Videos..

Company lists

https://youtu.be/lbDOgnOYRmM

Company presentation from April

https://youtu.be/DV3gC7wloLk

Risk manager hiring

https://youtu.be/o82at1g82_o

Self funding update

https://youtu.be/8_CfiQtFceY

Can see a steady rise here for the next few days, see where we are Friday, this is de risking for more and more investors.

And gathering shares for the next move.

SKIN has smashed my target SP for the short term, buys like that at this price are very positive. Could be some very material earnings for SKIN from them helping with COVID related issues. I was in before any of this so happy to hold. GB is also a great modern CEO in my mind. GLA

Hi Ian, I'll go for tomorrow if it's not cheating after reading that tweet. GLA

Just spotted a SYME trading target. Just site a user i think but lots of shares have no comments so good its started..

https://uk.tradingview.com/chart/SYME/1sc0OMss-long-on-a-hunch/

Yes I would say you're thinking correctly. A holdings RNS is possible but big new news won't be coming this soon to the directors buys. They have been very ethical in buying weeks after the last news and subsequent rise. They could have bought in a lot sooner to that and cheaper.

Being a weather geek, I love a bit of thunder! Haha. All good apunter2, Anything that can help new investors learn.

Lovely jubely!

Every time I'm busy and away from my portfolio, EUA has a great rise! Just catching up and see a twitter post, instinct was the shorts have been closing. Board has been under attack so made me think some still hadn't exited.

I would also add, If you don't know the basics of how to value a company, you should educate yourself more before you invest your hard earned cash.

The more proof of "future" earnings the more likely of a high PE. An example now would be Tesla with a PE of over 800. The market thinks Tesla will dominate the car world by some way. If it fails to do so, and in 2030 growth slowed, It's SP would crash back to a PE level which reflected the new growth rates.

So if you times the earnings per share by 10 thats a PE of ten
IE..

ABC PLC earns 1p in earnings per share. It had 5% year on year growth and the market values it at ten times earnings. So a SP of 10p.

XYZ PLC earns 1p in earnings per share. Its growth rate was 130% and the market values it at a PE of 40. So a SP of 40p

A forward PE is projecting the value for the next year rather than now which is a standard PE

Spotted another massive mistake, good job we are still at .75p! haha

P/E is price over earnings, It the amount the company make in earnings divided by the amount of share in issue. A slow growing business or cyclical business would tend to have a lower PE. A growth company growing at high rates would tend to have a high PE

Senario 1 Conservative

96 companies at £1.3bn average of 13.4m
272 companies at £13.4m
£4,922m in inventory
6% of inventory which is £296m in revenue
1% of inventory which is £49.2m in profit
32,755m share in issue
Earning per share £0.0015
50% of EPS paid for Dividend £0.00075 per share
Forward dividend yield of 10%
On those numbers forward PE of
10 = 1.5p share price
20 = 3p share price
40 = 6p share price

Senario 2 Ramp

96 companies at £1.3bn
272 companies at £40m average in inventory £10.88bn (was the reported average for self funding model)
£1 Billion in inventory from Abu Dhabi pilot
£500m in inventory from UK pilot
£12,380m in inventory
8% of inventory which is £999.4m in revenue
1% of inventory which is £123.8m profit
32,755m share in issue
Earnings per share of £0.003779 (mistake here before x100 not x10)
50% of EPS paid for Dividend £0.001889 per share
Forward dividend yield of 20-25%
On those numbers forward PE of
10 = 3.7p share price
20 = 7.4p share price
40 = 14.8p share price

16p target hit there on this numbers.

Corrected.. Feel free to check. Was rounding off the small figures and I think the ramp dividend is 26%.

Senario 1 Conservative

96 companies at £1.3bn average of 13.4m
272 companies at £13.4m
£4,922m in inventory
6% of inventory which is £296m in revenue
1% of inventory which is £49.2m in profit
32,755m share in issue
Earning per share £0.0015
50% of EPS paid for Dividend £0.00075 per share
Forward dividend yield of 10%
On those numbers forward PE of
10 = 1.5p share price
20 = 3p share price
40 = 6p share price

Senario 2 Ramp

96 companies at £1.3bn
272 companies at £40m average in inventory £10.88bn (was the reported average for self funding model)
£1 Billion in inventory from Abu Dhabi pilot
£500m in inventory from UK pilot
£12,380m in inventory
8% of inventory which is £999.4m in revenue
1% of inventory which is £123.8m profit
32,755m share in issue
Earnings per share of £0.003779
50% of EPS paid for Dividend £0.001889 per share
Forward dividend yield of 20-25%
On those numbers forward PE of
10 = 37.8p share price
20 = 75.6p share price
40 = 151.2p share price

One day I'll do them without the typo! Numbers stand I had the 32,755m in memory on the calc.

Correct Tallchad64, It's a typo, run the calcs on 32,755m and it the same. Apologies on the typo.

Our Head of risk management used to be a JP Morgan analyst. I wonder if there are looking to adopt the self funding model.. I would expect SYME to be in contact with the European departments already or looking to be.

If I could sum SYME up in one word "unicorn"