RE: Oz27 Aug 2020 21:55
Here's some projections @scottyboy
Senario 1 Current business
96 companies at £1.3bn average of 13.4m
272 companies at £13.4m
£4,922m in inventory
6% of inventory which is £296m in revenue
1% of inventory which is £49.2m in profit
32,755m share in issue
Earning per share £0.0015
50% of EPS paid for Dividend £0.00075 per share
Forward dividend yield of 10%
@0.75p On those numbers forward PE of
10 = 1.5p share price
20 = 3p share price
40 = 6p share price
Senario 2 Current and pilot business estimate
96 companies at £1.3bn
272 companies at £40m average in inventory £10.88bn (was the reported average for self funding model)
£1 Billion in inventory from Abu Dhabi pilot
£500m in inventory from UK pilot
£12,380m in inventory
8% of inventory which is £999.4m in revenue
1% of inventory which is £123.8m profit
32,755m share in issue
Earnings per share of £0.003779
50% of EPS paid for Dividend £0.001889 per share
Forward dividend yield of 20-25%
On those numbers forward PE of
10 = 3.7p share price
20 = 7.4p share price
40 = 14.8p share price
Scenario 3 - 4 hubs into 2021 conservative
96 companies at £1.3bn
272 companies at £40m average in inventory £10.88bn (was the reported average for self funding model)
£10 Billion in inventory from Abu Dhabi pilot (Same as Europe so far)
£5bn in inventory from UK pilot (Multi billion companies approach SYME according to interview.
£10bn in inventory from USA (US deal in talks)
£37,180m in inventory
£2,230m in revenue @6%
£371.8m in profit @1%
Earnings per share of £0.01135
50% of EPS paid for dividend £0.005675 per share
Forward Dividend yield of 87% at todays mid price of .65
On these numbers forward PE of
10 = 11.35p
20 = 22.7p
40 = 45p