RE: Re- Getcarter8 Feb 2017 13:13
let me illustrate with some figures
right now there are 2.2bn shares in issue and the share price is 0.6p (£0.0006) for an mcap of £1.32m
issuing 230,000,000 shares takes shares in issue to 2.43bn and the MCAP to £1.458m
a consolidation means that you end up with 24.3m shares in issue with each share now worth 6p instead of 0.6p. The MCAP remains at £1.458m
your 1m share holding at 0.06p each becomes 10,000 at 6p each.
Now assume that they give KOLA/Hummingbird owners 24.5bn shares (pre-consolidation) ...which is actually then 245.8m shares.
The total shares in issue becomes 270m. KOLA/Hum's holding represents 91%.
The key unknown which will drive the share price is what the company will be valued at once the CORA assets are added.
lets pretend that the relisted company is valued at £10m. (imho thats wildly optimistic!) You are looking at a share price of 4p (or what would have been 0.04p pre-consolidation.
The revised company valuation will drive the value of your holding upon relisting and of course any subsequent placing and dilution will further erode the value of your holding.
I would guess that they'll try and raise another couple of million, which at 0.3p (25% discount to the revised share price) will mean you will be adding another 75m shares in issue .
the shares in issue increases to 345m and assuming the MCAP neatly factors in the market value + the raised cash then the share price drops to 3.5p.
With shares being sold into market, not unreasonable to expect SP to drop to 3p.
so your shareholding of 10,000 shares which was 6p is now 10,000 shares worth 3p.
does that make sense?
this is all just based on my experience and understanding of the market dynamics and of course share prices can go up and well as down. just not as often on AIM unfortunately.