RE: RE: DEST Presentation and Strategy2 May 2024 11:36
BigBiteNow, thanks for your work and comments.
Equity developments in their note have said:
“The clinical development program for XF-73 nasal is in transition while partners review the recently available protocol changes and costings.
Destiny could start the Phase 3 studies alone to increase the value of the asset before partnering, but this would require further funding that could involve a stock offering. All the options for XF-73 nasal will be explored in the strategic review.
Destiny have also discontinued and returned of the rights to the SPOR-COV program on commercial grounds since the emphasis of this product was the prevention of respiratory infections and evolved as a result of the pandemic. Destiny’s other earlier-stage programs are grant funded.”
My understanding is the Strategic Review will cover partnering and the potential funding for the company to conduct phase three.
The company has said it will consider a range of strategic options for XF-73 nasal, including licensing and the company securing finance to enable it to conduct the Phase 3 clinical studies. In the presentation with questions and answers the CEO said he wants to avoid dilution for shareholders. The fundamentals of the business remain unchanged except that phase 3 has been redesigned to improve it and lower the cost.
Destiny has said it will continue negotiations with prospective partners and also consider other possibilities to fund phase 3. This is a good move as it gives Destiny flexibility and enhances its negotiating position.
One option is to put XF-73 into a separate company. This would allow funding for this subsidiary company and avoid dilution for shareholders of Destiny Pharma Plc. This finance could be a combination of equity and debt.
While Destiny would be reducing its 100% ownership of XF-73, it would end up with a more valuable product after phase 3 and FDA approval. XF-73 would then command a higher price from a big pharma partner. Destiny would have a smaller share of a bigger pie.
Would a partner be found for the XF-73 company? There is plenty of cash out there looking for projects, especially ones that offer relatively low risk and high return.
Destiny Plc would only need funds for admin expenses and any non-grant funded development of t=other products. Once the Sabela deal progresses stage payments will be paid and contribute to the company’s needs.
IMO any news of a pharma deal or a deal funding phase 3 at a subsidiary company level will put this company right on track to meet broker share price valuations.