RE: Its back of the envelope time13 Nov 2018 16:22
John was of course quoting gross profits, or something close to EBITDA. Net profit will as you say be a lot less but C3 & C1 costs we have always been told aren't that different.
As we look forward the picture gets ever better of course with the construction loan cleared by April 2020. In addition the J.V. is paying back loans to Ariana on a monthly basis and assets held by Ariana 100% like Ivrindi, Kepez & Kizilcukur are likely at some point to be bought into the the J.V. at perhaps 3 times costs.
As John says the mine asset increases in value in effect as the loan is decreased. Increasing Fixed assets & reducing liabilities.
What is also important in value creating terms, is that drill results from various projects will increase Reserve/resources, increasing life of mine timescales (Tavsan, Kiziltepe).
Then we have Internal Feasibility Studies due next year for Kizilcukur and probably Tavsan. Plus a Scoping Study for Karakavak. These quantify value and should bolster share values.
Finally lets not forget we could well get satellite pits in production feeding Kiziltepe from mid 2019 at Kepez & also at some point from Kizilcukur & perhaps Ivrindi.
Obviously the major drill programme at Salinbas/Ardala in 2019 could open Pandora's box with up to 10,000 metres of drilling proposed.