RE: workover27 Jul 2018 20:18
I also agree fair dealer that our negotiating team seem to be in capitulation mode. I used to work in govt and I know just how pig headed in negotiating the civil service and Ministers can be, when they want. I also believe, and former colleagues still in govt agree, that Barnier et al are hell bent on forcing a no deal brexit, regardless of the economic consequences for EU members, with the overriding aim of discouraging anyone else from contemplating leaving.
So, I think ts going to be a rocky few months through to next March. The only question is whether May can force through a deal that's remain in all but name, or we go down the no deal route. My money's on the latter, so short banks, if you go in for shorting. For O&G and the North Sea, energy is a glbal market and essential commodity, so I think Brexit will have very little impact. If anything, the North Sea will get more loving attention from the Govt, as it's still a big asset for the country, even if in decline now.