RE: News2 Dec 2021 13:57
Hi Trek,
I don’t disagree with any of your points, however I would add a couple of considerations.
Firstly, I agree that results order is not a big issue, however I also take the view that the MRE may not, on its own, be ‘what the market is looking for’. My rationale is this.
Our current resource, as you know, is 1,015,000 ounces. It took 36,000 metres of drilling at ‘Bam grade’ average 0.99 to 1.03 g/t to achieve this. This equates to 28.19 ounces per metre drilled.
Bill H confirmed that up until the recent recommencement of drilling (West pit infill on/vicinity GL 800E/900E) , Landore had completed 22,000 metres of drilling in the 2020/2021 campaign. Interestingly, Bill said that the strategy had been to drill 11,000 on infill, and 11,000 on step out or exploration.
In the first instance, 11,000 drilled at Bam grade (I will come back to this) should achieve circa 310,090 ounces leading to a new MRE base level of 1,325,090 ounces. What we don’t know exactly (at least I don’t) is the ratio of drill density sufficient for indicated and inferred. Whilst both will sit within the revised MRE, we will have to wait for the report to come out to know the true picture.
Now then, and THIS is my key argument, Bill has repeatedly stated that of the companies currently with data access (thereby already doing their dd) under nda’s, more than one have impressed upon Bill the importance of not just resource , but of indication of REAL potential. The second 11000 metres drilled on west and east pit extensions will show this. Now we can be pretty sure that density will not bring data sufficient for indicated, but will show either inferred (which WILL) sit within the revised MRE, was well as considerable ounces that will sit outside. This is the exploration or unclassified figure. (Note that we had 441,000 ounces of unclassified in the 2019 PEA. Whilst some of this has now been infilled and moved into resource, mu maths says that it cannot all have been upgraded.
My conclusion therefore Trek, is that the combined figure of new MRE plus current unclassified category is what will light this up. It is hard to work out what the MRE will show not just for the reasons outlined, but also
1. We are quite likely to have an improved grade over previous Bam grade.
2. My figures do not take into account the current infill on this suspected new high grade shoot at 800/900 Bam West. This will, if good, be sewn in the MRE causing a slight delay as Bill confirmed in last interview.
My take is the companies will