RE: Whatβs driving this down today23 Jun 2023 10:08
Raising BoE rates has a minimal effect these days and there's a big time lag. Most older and richer people have paid off their mortgage so no pain for them at all. The young ones would love a mortgage but they have to rent - some pain down the line as rents will be increased, but wages in private sector have gone up to cushion this. The squeezed middle in their 30s to 50s with families are the ones (as usual) taking the biggest hit for the whole country. However even this hit is disproportional as it only kicks in when they come off their fixed mortgages which most have these days. So ... inflation will take a long while to come down as only a small section of the population are seeing their disposable income getting hit right now. Anyway it's all heading for a recession so then we'll get back to low inflation but instead have other worries - devalued Β£, unemployment, riots, repossessions , etc.