Gold recovering17 Jan 2015 06:33
Good progress in the last week as the recent tide has now turned for Gold given the uncertainty in Europe. I would like to see all-in cash costs very close to $1000 oz in the Q3 operational results due out next week. Nickel and gold values are generally opposing hence the benefit of being in both but I suspect we will see Nickel increase in value very soon as the reality over Nickel supply becomes apparent. Forget the stocks in the LME monitored warehouses they are 75% held under warrant and that will not be released for consumption at these prices. The value will have to exceed $20000 a ton in my opinion for those warrant holders to release their investment/metal. Currently demand will be out pacing supply accepting that not all supply is actually available for use. The next few weeks and months will hold some interesting news for MWA holders. The Q3 operating results, the result of the bond to debt finance the smelter restart for BIND.ZW, the first drill results from Katanga, the result of the study at ZK, progress with increased production at the Klipspringer slimes and the move back underground, the progress of the restart and hopefully a decision to restart the refinery. The current quarter to the end of March is the first complete period with all the equipment upgrades in place and should provide good reading if the technical gremlins can be controlled. I believe we will see the share price progress strongly with news flow that adds significant value. If you are an optimist and see higher commodity values then given all we know several 100% increase from here is not unreasonable I believe over the next 6 months. If you see tighter values ahead then MWA are well covered with expected stronger technical performance and reducing costs. The value I suspect will only come from real profit and some plan to return some of that value. MWA are well placed to do that with little real debt and strong reliable and predictable projects that have been under scrutiny.