Member Info for Tornadotony

twohits

the market does have a way for correcting certain events so i am not going to go on about after this missive.

i believe both rob ****** and paul atherley had nothing to do with friday's rally. however, when shareholders get a vote about supporting awf, the events between 8.0am plus 30 seconds to 8:25 last friday were far from normal. shareholders having positions jumped over on the buy price and being timed out on trying to get into a position was being traded out like it was a planned pump. the rns for awf is to have 62 million shares for 24p. i am not saying they do not deserve it, but it is just one of things that do not give it a particularly good look.

tony

Sundrum

I totally disagree. It look like someone possibly employed by AWF acted on it last Friday before finalising with the company. The March 18th RNS has quite different content on where the ABSA funding situation was. This is not about people betting against Pensana, this is about someone profiteering before others could buy more shares. Tony

No it means someone possibly knew about this last Thursday night and acted upon it on Friday. It was clearly not the CFO.

Has not shown this behaviour !

Starting from Sept 2020 we have experienced 17 similar events,

* = important

RNS * 14 September 30.9% rally.

RNS * 8 Oct- 12 over 40% rally.

RNS* 23 Dec -29 29% rally.

2021

RNS * 19 Feb-22 26% rally.

RNS* 11 Mar-13th 27.9% rally.

COP 18 Oct -20th 26.6% rally.

RNS 8 March 2022 34.5% in a day but not that important.

2023

12 and 13th Jan 22% rally.

RNS* 13 Jul -17th 43.% rally .

RNS * 28 Apr 34.15% in a day.

RNS* 31 Aug and 1 Sept 21.72%.

Annual report 30 Oct-31st 33.7% rally .

2024

RNS * 23 Sept-25th 41.27%.

2025

RNS* 21 Jan to 23rd 22.5% rally.

RNS * only appeared on the 4th day. 14 Mar-18 Mar 88% update on LJ.

No RNS

7-9th April rally 29%

14th April 14.8% in a day no RNS.

This week RNS is not that significant unlike nearly all the above bar 1.

The point I am making is that the share has showed the kind of behaviour in 4 years and suddenly on 3 occasions we get pumped and the previous two times dumped.

On two previous occasions the share price fell after the CFO sold. First occasion it was 3p and second occasion 4p.

Sale of shares for director loan advance to Company.

Director sold his shares as a loan advance to the company?

The short goes on when the dump happens as we sell and buy it back.

MA options expiry in USA markets this Friday. There is a possibility of market wide reversals end of this week as news flow is looking more negative (on economic growth side). That view was supported by Bloomberg this morning as a second source from options market commentary. USD is also on a retreat. The rally in USD is temporary imop. Tony

During pump the selling obviously has stopped. So the pumpers can not get out unless they lead the dump and profit take. We shall see if I am wrong or correct during May. I genuinely bought 10,000 shares at 27.4p at 11.22am on Thursday before the pump rally. I have not sold them.

Know this game in previous.

AS

Anxiety is on the pump team. We all know how this game goes and ends. After awhile it plays around like Fartcoin and is nothing to do with investing as cowboys traders play with the stock until they get bored. As long as everyone knows that is going on, holders sit on their hands and time the dump. Like being at greyhound track where you get the info from kennel ladies as to what dogs were run around the field all day and fed heavy before the race and who is putting the bets on for the trainer and follow them around using binoculars and have someone on stand by to lay follow on bets before the race. For those who do not this game, they lose their monies to those who play it. I absolutely hate it, but that is what goes on. Tony

Zak is at least giving some logic behind what he is describing the move and not just drawing boxes out of thin air. He also sources what stimulates a move to put charting and fundamentals together.

The chartist doing Elliott waves wrongly on Pensana is not a recommendation. Elliott waves done properly can give a predictive value of 85% on very liquid high value companies in FTSE 100 or 250. The best tool is the one I gave previously using bar chart on a stock like Pensana. Market screener chart is useful in finding strong support such as the MA 100.

ChinaS.

yes RBW is following the rest of the rare earth miners (although it is not a miner but chemical rare earth processor) still impacted by USA China trade discussions on rare earths. Also ChinaS, RBW has little going for it until November the earliest. Hence PRE has more interest. Tony

A lot of news on ALK this morning which has shot up and the SP guided by an RNS and REACH communication. An attempt on PRE to pump again this morning was swiftly dealt with. The rare earth miners on market screener are nearly all down this morning some have fallen 7%. The 100 day moving average support line is now at 25.8p on PRE.

Chinasyndrome

We have to wait on what happens in the coming week. An RNS may emerge or a Reach communication.

Tony

Pump and dump is suspected when a huge volume of share trading happens which is say 5 to 6 times daily volume and there is no trigger as to why it occurred. Pensana on Friday was not oversold, no RNS, no company presentation, no external publication from other sources or broker recommendation, no stimulus from the commodity and no response arising in the sector of other companies in its peer group. A pump is suspected when in the first 30 minutes of trading has accelerated the daily gains to be in the top two performers in the stock market without any RNS and the gain is very significant. Pensana was the second highest stock across all UK equities early Friday morning and this stimulated traders jumping in on the bandwagon. Hence the suggestion of why I thought it looks like a pump. The dump is when existing holders sell along with the original buyers. It does not not have to be dumped on the day of a pump. Anyway let us see if we get an RNS on Monday. Traders incidentally who pump and dump are what gives other stock traders who do not behave in that way a bad name. Hence why I do not like it.

If you take 9% you have a decent number of numerical days for analysis n= 54/55 area. Also the difference between buy and sell can be 4% plus.

Days we had 9% or more gains from October 2020.

39% are linked to RNS activity mainly on the day and day after publications (around 6% of it is Director buying).

15% were likely to do with high prices in rare earths in the initial Pensana spike rally Nov 2020 to April 2021.

11% look like pumps that all failed within 30 days ( some of these may have been failed expectations of an outcome).

9% are responses to being heavily oversold.

6% were a day before an RNS that was not a worthwhile leak material.

4% linked to company presentations.

4% look like leaks as information appeared later on that was possibly useful although had little impact after a week or so.

12% just had no clear explanation and might by institutional share movements and other things that are not ascertainable on looking backwards or just sentiment driven to give a revaluation at that time.

All the above is my own opinion and interpretations.

Dusty,

For today you are correct as the share volume is so much higher. Normally it is far lower and day charts and perhaps 5 hour chart are better to use. Anyway we have China and USA meeting over the weekend. Hot money moves on short term charts always dissipate in my experience. The traders will sell high and buy lower if they come back here again or attracted elsewhere. Last post on here today from me.

Tony

4kandles

Whoever jumped in this morning was an amateur because it looks like a boiler room pump and dump. I am sitting on my hands as no RNS does not support what happened out of the gate. The technical charts were not suggesting the move we had this morning either. Other rare earth stocks did not behave the same way. Tony