RE: It's REAL! It's just time..28 Jan 2026 15:55
The company is in a feasibility, pilot flow sheet stage. It will be quite a few months before we have a Preliminary Evaluation Assessment with some ide of annual productivity. The next stage or what we cross into is a development feasibility study that delivers really worthwhile costings and is against what is a finalised flow sheet. This all happens well before seeking funding for any serious construction work. The flow sheet also gives an idea of what annual production volumes would be like with some degree of confidence, a likely Opex figure and assessment of the Capex expenditure to deliver a full operating plant. If the plant delivers 1 M tonnes per annum of TiO2 at a 50 year mine life, the revenue is $1.5B a year. Lets assume after financing costs that the profit is $300M a year (20% net margin) and that total share equity have quintupled to 3500 million shares. Net final profit is 11.6 cents per share or around 8.3p per share. On a 50 year mine life at 15PE would be 124p a share. 10PE rate is 83p. These figures are fairly extreme on placings, total debt, recoveries and final construction costs. At 40p having a functional mine in 7 years is a 14% average return per year of holding the investment. I therefore regard it as a good buy at the current price. In fact more generous assumptions from my worse case could easily deliver a far greater return by a factor of 3 or more. I should stress all of what I have written is quick guestimate thinking to get an entry position on a stock that has a decent asset.