DFS, 2019 and Technical Report of 202117 Jul 2024 11:26
Based on these documents, here are the quick and dirty details I gleaned regarding the average grade of ore, projected gold production, and the years with the most difficult terrain and worst ore quality:
Average Grade of Ore and Projected Gold Production for 2024 and 2025
2024:
Ore Grade (milled): 5.40 g/t
Contained Gold (milled): 124 koz (thousand ounces)
Recoverable Gold: 121 koz
2025:
Ore Grade (milled): 5.29 g/t
Contained Gold (milled): 122 koz
Recoverable Gold: 118 koz
Years with the Most Difficult Terrain
The years with the highest strip ratios, indicating more difficult mining conditions due to more waste needing to be removed relative to ore, are:
2022: Strip ratio of 33.7 (we still met guidance)
2023: Strip ratio of 29.8 (it was not as good as many keep saying. 2022 was much better. This is why I believe many investors started jumping ship and the share price nose-dived. What was being said did not match the evidence provided. I may be wrong but this is what i am leaning towards as it is what makes the most sense)
Years with the Worst Quality Ore Grade
The years with the lowest ore grades, indicating lower quality ore, are:
2026: Ore Grade of 1.25 g/t
2027: Ore Grade of 1.09 g/t
So higher gold prices or not, considering many other factors, including the Nigerian one, the SP skyrocketing may be a distant dream. Will Douta help? Certainly. But what is in stock in Senegal? SL is not Senegalese. I am not. I do not know.
Though the 2019 document does state that the rock mass is of the poorest quality in the lower west and east walls of the southern pit and within the southern and northern end walls of the pit, the report does not specify which years of mining will encounter these areas.
The higher gold price happens to be good fortune. It is one of the reasons many people invested money regardless of available evidence but gold prices can fall and the Nigerian factor can erode any such gains. SL invested to boost confidence but he can afford to lose some money on lower share prices. His pay package is huge.