2024 projections?19 Jul 2024 03:35
Revenue (95,000 oz * $2,250/oz) $213,750,000
Cost of Sales (95,000 oz * $1,100/oz) $104,500,000
Gross Profit $109,250,000
Other Expenses (using 2023 figures as a proxy) $ 53,750,000
- Amortization and Depreciation $ 28,239,911
- Other Administrative Expenses $10,746,349
- Impairment of Exploration and Evaluation Assets $11,671
- Interest Expense $13,074,395 (should be less considering debt paydown)
Net Profit $55,500,000
Thor Explorations is projected to have a net profit between $35.9 million and $49.9 million for FY 2024 if gold production is between 80,000 to 85,000 ounces.
This range is based on the following assumptions:
Gold Production: 80,000 to 85,000 ounces
Gold Price: Average of $2,250 and $2,350 per ounce ($2,300)
AISC: $1,100 to $1,200 per ounce
Other Expenses: Consistent with 2023 figures (actual figures should hopefully be less)
Gold Production AISC Revenue Cost of Sales Gross Profit Other Expenses Net Profit
80,000 oz $1,100/oz $184,000,000 $88,000,000 $96,000,000 $52,072,326 $43,927,674
80,000 oz $1,200/oz $184,000,000 $96,000,000 $88,000,000 $52,072,326 $35,927,674
85,000 oz $1,100/oz $195,500,000 $93,500,000 $102,000,000 $52,072,326 $49,927,674
85,000 oz $1,200/oz $195,500,000 $102,000,000 $93,500,000 $52,072,326 $41,427,674
$36m to $55m is not much...and according to the current mine plan, this was supposed to be our best year.
The 2023 Financial Statements mention that a new technical report supporting the updated life of mine ("LOM") plan and Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimate was being prepared, and it was expected to be filed on SEDAR (System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval) by the end of Q2 2024. However, it appears that it has not been uploaded yet. It is only another thing that gives pause.
If we have another 8 years at Segilola, this would be fantastic. It still does not mean we should not maximise our profits by reducing our expenses - not just interest payments, but other administrative expenses.
I wait with bated breath for the updated technical report.