Dividend expectations...12 Aug 2020 09:25
From the new, updated Liberum broker note:
"Capable of paying a bumper dividend with cash balances of $55.9m and no large capital expenditures planned, the company is very well placed to pay a much higher dividend this year. We are currently assuming a dividend of 5.8 cents per share, equivalent to a 25% payout ratio, 9.1% dividend yield and over 5 times higher than the dividend paid out last year. Clearly, with the uncertain operational outlook caused by COVID, we wouldn’t be surprised if management consider it prudent to pay a smaller dividend for the time being and further extend its share buyback program. We believe that Sylvania’s outlook remains very good for the medium term and that further dividend increases will be easy payable in the years ahead."
Assuming that the dividend is indeed 5.8 cents (@4.5p), I'd expect the yield to normalise at 5%, dragging the share price up to around 90p. (90p is also a P/E in the region of 5, and I think the minimum fair value for this debt-free cash-rich highly profitable company.) Not too shabby.