RE: Chas's substack6 Mar 2024 12:52
David,
please explain that again, because to me it makes no sense at all.
You say, "The company aren’t buying shares off shareholders, they are being bought from the broker by the company. The company will buy as your example 1 share from the broker, cancel that share, pay the average cost of that one share plus 5%."
Sticking to the earlier example of £10 per share, you are suggesting the company will pay the broker £10.50 for that share and then cancel it. Ok so far.
You t hen say, "Just to add , no shareholder will ever own the shares bought as part of the tender offer, they will only receive the monies from the sale of these shares." Here is where I'm confused, who will pay you the £10.50, the company or the broker?. The company have already given the money to the broker in exchange for the share, so they can't give it to you. The broker, who received the £10.50, presumably had to buy the share in the first place for the market rate of £10.00.
So, someone will have sold a share and now has £10.00, the broker has £0.50, the share no longer exists. Who pays you the £10.50? It is not the company because they already handed it over to the broker. It is not the broker because he only has £0.50. It certainly isn't the chap that sold the share to the broker.
Just looking at this another way. If, as you say, a person fully committing to the tender offer still retains their original holding after it is all complete, this creates the following scenario:
Using your earlier £10.00 share price and £0.68 dividend.
Ivor has 1000 shares
If he does nothing he still has 1000 shares and receives £680 cash
If he fully commits to the tender he has 1000 shares and receives £714 cash.
It would clearly be a no brainer. In fact, this is the equivalent of DEC having declared a variable dividend. They may as well have said to all shareholders "for Q3, would you like us to pay £0.68 dividend or £0.714?"
This offer is open to all shareholders, therefore it is possible (though not likely) that all shareholders fully take up the offer. It is also clearly indicated that the aim of this is to cancel as many shares as possible (i.e. the more the offer is taken up, the more shares will be cancelled).
Stating that you keep the same number of shares if you take up the tender offer is clearly wrong, because if everybody took it up, everybody would still have the same shares, yet also the maximum number of shares would have been cancelled by the company. You can't have a fixed number, subtract from it and still have the same fixed number.
David, this tender offer is certainly confusing, I have never been party to one before and am willing to admit I may have got it wrong. But while I may have got it wrong, you have certainly got it wrong.