RE: Magnus10 Jan 2022 19:29
Hi,
Despite my late night (completely sober, just finished work) meanderings, I have a fairly complex spreadsheet of oga historic production and my own assumptions of variables to give what I call a "sales volume". A fair few "Ifs" in here but . . .if Enquest have to announce if they miss or expect to miss guidance, and if you make reasonable assumptions about other assets coming back online or being fixed, or continuing as normal for the last two months of 2021, then I find it hard to see how Magnus cannot be "fixed". And I know **** happens, and I know blah, blah, blah, but looking at the balance of probabilities over two months, it looks good.
Just my maths and my spreadsheet but bear in mind Enquest already know the answer and haven't reported any material change to guidance 21 . . and I also know the inclusion of GEAD has made that possible but I have taken that into account already from last week of October.
In the meantime, most of us have a long year ahead!! Optimists indeed. E&OE.
https://www.dropbox.com/s/3r4vz38py34dr2j/Romaron%20Challenge%2022.pdf?dl=0
GLAXXX