RE: BHP Major Copper Discoveries11 Dec 2024 13:29
As one how has also sunk a material amount of money in SOLG and been a shareholder for 10 years, I have had plenty of time to ponder on the many reasons we haven't monetized the multi-bagger yet.
Over time, despite the various reasonings around egoes and corporate/management shortcomings that dominated the narrative and the discourse over this and other boards, one topic was more and more clear to me, the quality of the resource is not a given while everything else gets messed out. Yes, Cascabel is huge but that's not the entire story here, obviously.
In business, only money talks, so I don't buy for a second that CEOs have hurt feelings or desire to retaliate. If one day BHP or other decide to bid for SOLG it's just because the business case has become compelling enough.
As we have learned under Scott's leadership, Cascabel surely is an enormous resource but it still demands further work to bring to the sufficient marketability level. We know because we have been told, and in the past it was not as clear to us. When NM was pushing it, we were still a speculative bet for a major and that's why BHP never offered more than the typical multiple for a firm at that stage. BHP were right however much we might want to disagree on that, we are still working on the resource and the cost/methods to mine it and move it.
SOLG is surely being derisked, comms are in line with the frequency of the relevant news (even though that guy is a serious and unforvigable joke) and time is a problem for us just because we have been around too long.
Now more than ever I think that SOLG will play out ok, but that is not for tomorrow or the next day.
And none of that has anything to do with how Henry feels, or we feel about Henry.
If I don't speak to you until next year, I wish you all a great holiday season!