Recession, what recession?5 Aug 2022 13:28
We've had the US GDP numbers for the last two quarters -1.6% and - 0.9% but it's not a recession.
Apparently you now have to construct a composite index of recession indicators before you can call it a recession.
Indicators used to date include, business cycles (peaks and troughs), real (inflation-adjusted) personal income, nonfarm payroll employment, employment as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics household survey, real personal consumption expenditures, wholesale-retail sales adjusted for price changes and industrial production.
I don't know if all these other variables are accountable here in the UK. All I know is, if we have two quarters of negative GDP the media especially the leftwing brigade will certainly have a field day, headline news for weeks.
Unlike sleepy Joe's government, announcing two quarters of negatives, which passed almost unnoticed then afterwards issued a denial citing all these other recession indicators.
Wouldn't happen here, already Bailey's predictions of future inflation and possible recession are being shouted from the rooftops.