Realism16 Dec 2022 05:08
If you believe and have bought in to the ALL story then you won’t be worried about what is the normal up and down behaviour of a share price.
ALL has had a meteoric rise that typically would be overheated for a while. And yes, the market may play on that somewhat, but that could also be fuelled by the perceived presence of risk. Nothing is ever a dead cert. And in ALL’s case, the risk could well be the mining license.
Now I’m not saying that they won’t get the license (they certainly appear to be making all the right moves) but I’ve been in the markets long enough to have seen many “dead certs” not be a dead cert. No comparison intended, but ask SXX or GKP shareholders how sure they felt about the outcome of their investments. Expect the unexpected.
I still get caught out. My latest bug bear is IRONVELD - over the last 2 or 3 years there have been numerous RNS’s literally stating that funding had been agreed and they were just waiting for the money, only to find out the funder didn’t have the funds! Ok, now funds have been raised, but at huge dilution and a crushed SP which has been a major poke in the eye for my averaging down. And yes, they’ve now announced they’ve acquired a smelter for almost $0 and refurbishing it, but the deal isn’t complete because the debt acquisition part of the deal isn’t finalised. Meaningless words such as “imminent” are now common in RNS so I, and I assume the vast majority of LTHs, just don’t take the RNS’s seriously any more.
So just a cautionary tale, to share experience, and highlight the risk of over commitment in any one share.
Now, when do I buy some ALL?! The 30p level certainly looks interesting in terms of a support level…. if it gets there !