MYR undervalued18 Mar 2016 05:56
Been saying this for a while now, we are in a turnaround phase. USD losing value with the economy flagging and rate rises pushed back. Oil prices creeping back and with Malaysia's political situation now becoming more apparent, it's not such a bad bet after all. The executive chairman of Templeton Emerging Markets Groupe has come out and said the Malaysian ringgit is undervalued by 28%. This is an exciting sector to be in and perfectly placed to benefit from FX gains in the coming year in my view.
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/mobius-says-malaysian-ringgit-is-undervalued-by-28
Mr Mobius said emerging markets are at a "turning point", and listed Brazil, Vietnam and Malaysia among his favourite emerging market investment destinations.
Currencies in Southeast Asian economies came under increased pressure last year amid a global slump in prices and a slowdown in China.
The MSCI index of Southeast Asia, a benchmark of the region's biggest stocks, plunged about 20 per cent last year, driven in part by these factors which brought down valuations down to 2009 lows.
Malaysia's economy grew 5 per cent in 2015, slowing from 6 per cent in 2014 but within the government's 4.5-5.5 per cent estimate.
The ringgit took a hit from sustained weakness in global oil and commodity prices last year, and continues to face risks from Malaysia's diminishing surplus, which narrowed to 5.39 billion ringgit (S$1.81 billion) in January trade.
Beyond Malaysia, he said while growth is decelerating in China, Mr Mobius said it remains "an enormous growth story" with a significant increase in the economy's dollar value over the past two years when growth was at 7 per cent, compared with when it grew at 10 per cent in 2010.
Mr Mobius said India is also growing at a "very nice rate" with increasing foreign reserves, that along with the Indian rupee, have been managed well by the country's central bank.