RE: Tomorrow26 Sep 2025 11:46
My prediction on Evoke:
The gaming tax is likely to increase to 37–40%.
Shares could fall to around €40–45, possibly dipping lower on the Monday following the announcement.
Bondholders may pressure shareholders to initiate a sale process.
There are no clear strategic buyers at this stage — Entain and Flutter are unlikely to be options.
A private equity buyer may be circling, but is likely to bid 30–40% below expectations, delaying any transaction until H1 2026.
In the meantime, tech integration continues to lag, and we could see the exit of some C-level executives.