RE: To bite?19 May 2021 22:43
Lots of positive speculation on this board (including mine); not so many risks being discussed. Like to hear other people's thoughts on risks. These are on my mind:
- Little income, plenty of historic share placings/dilution. Jan 2020 saw 2.8 Billion shares consolidated 100:1 down to 28M shares. 18 months later we're up to 160M shares. Dilution seems inevitable, but how much?
- Several projects we're excited for updates on, RNS silence this year:
Aug 2020 - "intent to commence active exploration and drilling" at Wishbone II, "intend to hit exploration hard". "Funding raised [to] restart exploration simultaneously on White Mountains project".
Sep 2020 - Terra Search engaged to "fast track exploration work"; ground magnetics, soil sampling, electrical survey reviews, 38 drill holes.
Nov 2020 - "excellent initial results" from White Mountains; "I look forward to reporting further significant results over the coming weeks as we prepare for a drilling programme at White Mountains".
Dec 2020 - Wishbone 6 applied for - "should be fully granted by the end of the first quarter 2021 and that is when exploration can begin".
5+ months on, long after Q1, has there been nothing worth saying on any of this? Cottesloe acquired in March and "well placed to move quickly on due diligence". Why buy that at all, not busy enough with all the above? Were the further results not what they hoped? It's not a massive problem for me, but there's enough in progress that nothing to say for months is a bit weird, even if it was "Terra Search are really busy" or "our focus is all on Red Setter, so expect delays on these", no? Short-term risk, what is to stop Red Setter or Cottesloe falling into the same RNS silence for the next 6 months, and it gets to December and there's been one placing RNS for the Director's salaries and one RNS "we've acquired a new license and are eager to develop it quickly"?
- Some private investors don't like or trust R. Poulden and D. Lenigas. It looks like D. Lenigas sold the Red Setter license to Wishbone(?) and is an investor here. I think it's normal for AIM that things can go badly wrong and people lose out, but if you look up the complaints and think there's more to it, that might put you off.
- Red Setter might be a duster. Share price could rise on drilling plans and drills turning, but if early drills turn up dust that will surely tank the share price for a while, regardless of other assets.
- Short term, can they get access to any drills? A comment here a month or so ago said that all drilling rigs in the region were booked to the end of the year by companies grabbing them for speculative future work. If true, that could be months of delay to year end.
Any others?